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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. radar looks like ass tbh, but it has improved a bit the past 30 min.
  2. Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily capable of damaging wind gusts, are anticipated this afternoon and into the evening across portions of New England into eastern Pennsylvania, southern New York, and New Jersey. Though there is some uncertainty in the degree of convective organization and evolution, a severe thunderstorm watch could be warranted later this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Satellite and radar trends show convection developing across PA into NY in an environment characterized by moderate buoyancy (~1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE) and strong deep-layer shear (40-45 kt 0-6km). Though deep convection has yet to form, it is anticipated that as daytime heating and mixing continues, the environment will support strong, organized thunderstorm updrafts. Given long, straight hodographs and appreciable 0-1 km lapse rates approaching 8 C/km, along with seasonably high precipitable water content approaching 2.00 inches, the primary threat will be for damaging straight-line winds of 55-70 MPH within thunderstorm downdrafts. Hail or a brief tornado cannot be ruled out with any stronger, isolated organized convection that occurs, though low-level shear and mid-level lapse rates do not suggest that they are likely at this time.
  3. we have all fall/winter for 40's and 50's with crisp air, not sure why anyone would root for that crap in mid-summer
  4. the days will be mild with the decent sun angle, but the evenings/nights are certainly ugly
  5. my guess is 12 to 15 for Hartford, however wouldn't be shocked if it's over that, 15+ easily doable.
  6. hopefully everyone enjoyed the 24 hours of normal to slightly below temps/dews
  7. always wanted to move south but the south moved here. sweet
  8. acatt Boston has registered 120 hours with a dew point of 70 degrees or higher through July 15 – over two times as many hours compared to average, according to data compiled by Iowa State University.
  9. Remember when, occasionally, we would hit 40's and 50's every summer. Multiple times
  10. Anyway, there is an early fall feel in the air tonight. It's 70's but with the low dews and sunset, it's a noticeable change.
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