Torch Tiger

Dorian does make a run at the Gulf after all. Too bad it's near Maine

'Grats

Pray for f'ing Canada.

I have looked into studies that show people who do not use colorful language, have a far greater likelihood of being liars and manipulators. Food for thought.

We do have some concern that rainfall may end up higher on Nantucket. Although it is a low chance, HREF and CAMs suggest maximum rainfall totals could approach 5" there which would lead to more significant poor drainage flooding. Confidence is not high enough to issue Flash Flood Watches at this time, since we do not see all factors coming into play that would tend to favor excessive rainfall. This includes position of upper jet, which will be over SNE and should keep stronger synoptic scale lift farther offshore (as opposed to more favorable position across northern New England), and PWATs staying just below 2" with axis of higher moisture offshore. meh

TV for all

Euro and gfs operational both with strong agreement for that system NE of the islands. That is a notorious zone for long-track CV EC threats. ;/

Hopefully there is rapid weakening very soon, with a,distant offshore track.

I'm hoping for a frigid October/November with several NNE snow events.

'78 injured thousands and killed 100. That's a lot more than many hurricanes, here or elsewhere. Nevermind the property damage as well as economic losses. But you won't hear people on here wishing it away.

This scrapercane is annoying. Sorry, /rant

A redux of Hazel or King would set this forum on fire

too bad the water was/is turned over

The UL jet needs to be west of where the gfs has it.

We can see where it's headed..

A nice end/near end to convectve season today. A decent storm ending with a sunset, behind heavy rain and lightning

Had some winds here, I bet it was better close by.

Good storm

Loud booms. We watch for 7-10

Please not Hillary again, I am tired of 3rd-6th party voting

It may not even rain. next

they will forcefully...ticket you

Looks like a severe storm in S VT, heading towards the CRV and LEB generally.

SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of intensifying thunderstorm development are expected this afternoon along and ahead of a cold front. Adequate instability along with very strong deep-layer winds will yield the potential for storms capable of damaging winds and some hail. A tornado or two cannot be ruled out mainly across southeast New York into southern New England. The severe risk will diminish from west to east across the region by early/mid-evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Laconia NH to 35 miles east southeast of Allentown PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).