Torch Tiger

18z gfs solidly east!

All aboard East team!

if you read the right poster...

Should be pretty light, a few problems in a small zone but for 90% of us it will be just a breezy rainy day.

buoy was east by around 20 miles. at least according to the wind direction switch (SE to NW) and the map there National Data Buoy Center (noaa.gov)

bring 'em up and in

The center has passed buoy 41001. pretty "meh" there overall MM DD TIME (EDT) WDIR WSPD kts GST kts WVHT ft DPD sec APD sec MWD PRES in PTDY in ATMP °F WTMP °F DEWP °F SAL psu VIS nmi TIDE ft 08 21 12:00 pm NW 19.4 29.1 - - - - 29.58 - 79.3 82.2 77.7 - - - 08 21 11:50 am NW 17.5 27.2 16.7 12 8.8 S 29.58 - 79.3 82.2 77.4 - - - 08 21 11:40 am NW 15.5 27.2 - - - - 29.57 - 79.2 82.2 77.5 - - - 08 21 11:30 am NW 13.6 21.4 - - - - 29.57 - 78.8 82.4 76.8 - - - 08 21 11:20 am N 7.8 17.5 - - - - 29.57 - 78.6 82.4 76.8 - - - 08 21 11:10 am E 9.7 17.5 - - - - 29.59 - 78.6 82.4 76.8 - - - 08 21 11:00 am E 15.5 19.4 - - - - 29.60 - 79.5 82.4 77.7 - - -

Not sure it was mentioned, GGEM is pretty close to BID landfall

Another thing to consider is the duration of winds will be longer than most TC's around here. Would inevitably produce more issues than normal.

Looks like sonic the hedgehog

It's east and slower than 06z.

3mb in 24 hours

looks like a hot mess this AM However, more recent geostationary satellite imagery shows that the convection is *beginning* to wrap around the northeastern and eastern portions of the circulation suggesting that the anticipated decrease in shear is occuring, and that Henri *may* be on the verge of strengthening.

Looks like they updated at 6:30pm instead, sometimes they'll update throughout shift if needed too. But that's near-term stuff

usually 4pm/4am

Hopefully it explodes overnight

HMON is a moderate TS at landfall

Yeah it honestly looks like a nice day here Sunday

Not a lock that this system landfalls -IN SNE - as a TS, btw.

Yeah, I see no reason this won't unravel fairly quickly. The Cat 1/strong TS calls are banking on at least a weak cat 2 maximum

Would be funny if it never makes hurricane and landfalls as a naked swirl

Yeah, they can have the catastrophic flooding on 10mph breezes

Yeah, this may end up like that Isaias mess for ENE, pretty much nada.

Sandy was a ~ 70 billion dollar disaster and this "SandySurvivor" just said 'more impactful than Sandy' Who's the joke lol