Cary67

7 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

The ICON would be ok.

Your in better position than most Chicago posters 

1.0" here. Original 1.5" call within target. NWS call of 2-4" busted high.

18 minutes ago, wisconsinwx said:

A couple of busts well low on this one.  You win some, you lose some.

Wouldn't say it overperformed in the Chicago area. 

27 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I am confused here.  If Alek has DAB+ and you have DAB-, would that put the regular DAB around Algonquin to Highland Park?

Narrow band 

DAB-.  Northern fringe of the DAB+. 

Some light flakes starting now

19 hours ago, mimillman said:

It will trend to a southern sheared our mess like the GFS and Canadian eventually 

6Z Euro took a step SE towards that. Ukie lines up further SE along with GEM and GFS.

39 minutes ago, Snowstorms said:

HRRR has ~4" by 06z Monday in Toronto and still snowing. 

Good your making up for some lean years if I recall

1 hour ago, Baum said:

December was dry as a bone...minus the system that scooted through St. Loius and Indy. In my mind, we have not had a true amped storm that wraps up in the winter season in almost two seasons. NAM looks better on this event it seems. Hoping for a 2-4" event...pipe dream I'm sure...

Your right that December was pretty dry. Late in the month Dec.27th-28th had 1.21" rain. Then on Jan.10th-11th another 1.11" with a small amt falling as 2.1" of snow but other than that meh

9 minutes ago, Baum said:

reality....the usual trends have been weak fades to the south...not saying that would be the case 

Not sure systems in December were weak fades.Seems we had several decently strong rainers come through 

8 hours ago, Stebo said:

Euro from 12z agreed. Waiting on 00z run. The GFS as usual is forecasting for another planet.

0Z Euro 

20 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Around average could be fairly easy to attain, given we’ve already had a few light events and will probably rack up a few more...and average is
Like sustained winter potential being DOA, cold is probably forgone too...outside of one or two very brief shots possible in the next 10 days or so, due the the brief -EPO push. Other than that, it’ll likely stay around or above normal temp wise.


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Would seem with the EPS flipping to a +EPO the GFS showing warm cutters ala December would be about right. Maybe you cash in on this midweek system before that happens

Could surpass todays event. 1.5" call

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

the only thing that would make this winter worse would be CAD, solid D for sure

Next week should take on that +EPO look for the next rainer despite forecast of -EPO from Feb.7th on.

1.0" down. 

Coating here. Will head to Libertyville tomorrow to see the LES. Edit:maybe not

29 minutes ago, Maneee said:

Do you think that’ll be another big bust? 

LES on this side of the lake is like a Xmas gift from your ex wife. I wouldn't count on it but a nice surprise.

7 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Top 10 event of the year underway folks 

Zzzz

1 hour ago, cyclone77 said:

Gonna remain flakeless here it seems.  Would have been another nocturnal nickel and dimer anyway.  Pass.

On to the next.

The next one may be kinder to you. Rainer for the rest south of Madtown

2 minutes ago, Baum said:

and were back...partly

Not all the way back

Will it be a rainer or a strung out weak progressive miss SE

15 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

D7 call still in play.


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NW burbs fringe player

3 minutes ago, Baum said:

most likely overdone...as they typically are...any year...and I would not say amped. Looks like a solid 3-6" snow event with the wildcard being lake enhancement. This was never a 8-12" type event in this neck of the woods. 12Z GFS holds serve on placement it appears.

Kuchera fluffy amped. 2-4" looks reasonable with someone near Alek receiving 5". Although inexplicably he'll measure 2.7"

27 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

nice movement in the plumes, looking like a 3-5 area wide event with 6+ in LES hit areas

Will go on the low end of that for far NW burbs. Another click or two SE with no lake bail out and its 1-2"

Not sure but so far 6Z NAM and other short range guidance SE of GFS also. NAM was correcting NW but was further SE to begin with