Yeah remember listening as a kid to the NOAA weather station reading out heavy snow warnings and brief forecast discussions. A lot of times in the mid to late 70s those storms hit. Those winters left me nieve to the lackluster winters that would follow especially the 90s
Definitely won this round. I thought the Euro hadn't been performing particularly well this winter though. Maybe it handles systems from the southern stream better leaving the clippers to the CMC and GFS
Maybe they both caved into each other. People in the heart of the final snow band refer to it as a "consensus". Those left outside the band refer to it as a "cave." The GFS/NAM amped NW solution offered a more significant impact storm and seems to be more of a model fail since it failed in path and intensity.
Not a big fan of Kuchera except for clipper systems. They seemed inflated during the last storm. For this storm more anticipating GFS and NAM will keep ticking SE to meet Euro edging north after the 6Z runs blinked. Granted previous post had too much of an emotional component
Fair enough but if this ends up having a GHDIII path after persistent amped NW GFS runs would be hard not to think it caved at least incrementally over the next 36 hrs. Along with Euro edging north
If the GFS was showing 4-8" at 72 hrs and the Euro nothing, the Euro must have tip toed north a decent amt for you to end up with 6". Although the gradient was steep south to north
GFS and NAM caving to weaker drier SE solution. Mchenrysnow and I need to move to DTW for snow. Weather is repetitive
1" far NW LOT, 3-6" metro, 4-7" southside over to DTW
Not sure but I thought Euro actually caved near term on the over running event back south a bit towards the NAM but that was after global runs backed off further NW solutions
Actually that looks about right pathwise. GFS has several runs to tick SE to merge with Euro and lagging CMC. Probably dry up a bit in further runs but good hit southside over to DTW