clskinsfan
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Everything posted by clskinsfan
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Hit the wall and coming east now. Plenty cold EZF and north.
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Oh yeah. It is coming north. I am comparing to 12Z by the way. Dont know what any other HRRR run has done since then.
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Vort is a tick south and faster through 16 on the HRRR this run. Lets see where it goes from here.
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Caps are killing it right now.
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Traffic cams Jeb. By the way had an amazing Jebwalk yesterday evening in a pounding squall with 30 MPH winds. It was invigorating.
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I ran out to get more beer earlier today. It was an absolute madhouse.
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I really like the Eastern Shore for this one. They are gonna get the best of both parts imo. But not enough difference for me to head down there. Plus the snow will stick around longer out here in the Mountains. But Cambridge or Salisbury look to get it good.
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JMA was south by the way since you asked earlier. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=jma®ion=us&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2025010412&fh=96
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Ravens having some guys go down at a bad time. Flowers and Hamilton are big losses for them. Hope that doesnt happen tomorrow to my Commanders.
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Surface low still bouncing around a little bit. But definitely ticked north. Good run.
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18Z HerpaDerp is south. We might be in trouble.
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Whoever wrote it is very good at hitting on the science, for us weenies that want it, while making it easily readable for the general public. Excellent write up.
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thats for later. A couple hours before bed.
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I gotta stop day drinking. These models are making me lose my shit.
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Yeah. ICON way better. Ticked north just a touch. baby steps.
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ICON maybe 30 miles north with the vort at 36. Think it will be a better run.
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I think maybe its because of the shape of the precip field heading into the event? You have snow from Central Kansas to Central VA on this map.
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LP off VB is tasty.
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Wouldnt want to be a southern VA met right now. Your forecast would have to be anything from rain to 15 inches of snow.
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Ji and Yacht Rock. That is a dangerous combo I think.
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3K holds onto the cold for longer.
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Northern crew will like the NAM as well. NOVA/DC fighting the sleet line.
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Anything over 8 inches is a pain in the ass now that I am an old man. Pretty nasty warning for the southern Shen Valley. up to 5 inches with a half inch of ice on top. Glacier maker according to their mets. ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 5 inches and ice accumulations up to four tenths of an inch.
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Its a beatdown. It has a nasty dryslot and drives the primary up into central WV. But this is right at that point. No clue what it would do with the ULL after this. But a serious hit on the front end. And should make the northern crew feel a little better.
