Hazey

Ukie not budging from its offshore track. Might even be a touch further east than last run.

For everyone saying that the cold won't be pushed around and no storm is going to barrel into it and through it, the 12z ukie pretty much illustrates this.

Good thing there is another cutter at day 9 to help take the sting out of this piece o crap.

What are these positive depth change maps?  They make no sense with the model run.  Like 18-30" in NNE?  Where is the GFS even close to that.

Keep in mind this is still 6 days out. I'm sure there will be more changes. The theme today is slightly amped vs suppressed.

4 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Nice exotic solution for hazey too. 

I'll pass on that dogs breakfast. yuck.

1 hour ago, OSUmetstud said:

Yeah notsomuch. 

YQX?.

Pretty bad when I get completely whiffed while st. John's gets sn to ra. That doesn't typically happen.

Don't forget Friday's strong advisory snow event first  - might want to focus on that ...

What the hell is the positive snow depth change?? Why does it look so much weenier than the total snowfall map?

What’s your scientific reasoning for not holding?

The clown map for the run should be lol worthy. The little weenies here will be whipped into a frenzy me thinks.

This run has some pretty appreciable changes starting with that first system. Enjoy the look but doubt it will hold.

Seems like the 18z gfs might be shuffling the deck a little differently this run. Putting emphasis on the s/w at 108hrs.

I might see some flakes...lol. YYT gets the goods with this one.

That gfs run can’t be taken seriously post truncation. I mean wtf..

Verbatim that would be a biblical ice storm for my hood. Pass on that.

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Funny thing is... I remember a lot of bad winter calls in autumn.  Ha, one case in point, The Farmer's Almanac.  

anyway, not including that one.  But then this idea started convincingly abasing those calls given time...  

Indeed there were a few early calls of a dud winter. Not sure who initially started the epic winter train but everyone jumped on board after that. Why the hell not?..lol

13 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Great post from Isotherm, posted by another person, posted in another thread.

Sounds like he's hedging a bit. Im not surprised. As we keep missing out on snowstorms, sooner or later it becomes more than just bad luck.

11 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

http://labanimator.cmc.ec.gc.ca/wind/synoptic_e.html

Thanks. Didn't know about that link. You should get another blizzard out of this with that track.

17 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Long range rdps gets james into the action. 

Long range? Only goes to 48hr.

Wouldn’t shock me if this system tracked a bit more west. See what the 0z suite says.

A few more ticks North will put the Cape in the game...at least. Another tick and I’ll get in the goods. Not insurmountable at this range.

I just don’t know how this won’t get the job done

When did Jan 2015 start producing for you guys? Curious how far off the timeline you are.

2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Who would ever think this wasn’t going to destroy all of us in 48 hours based on this panel alone?

 

 

Winter 2018-19. Turning KU's into FU's.