Hazey

That system on the 5th is showing up on different models for a few consecutive runs now. Best chance for something for the time being.

Some bullets in the chamber on that run. Just when things look bleak, we score our chances.

12 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Done that a few times this month.  Agreed it will be concerning if you can never know if you can trust a colder EURO run compared to guidance this winter.

The Reggie hasn't been too hot this season either. Been over amping systems. Sucks cause those two models were like the heavy weights of the last couple of seasons.

We're inside 5 days and the Euro may get schooled again. That's troublesome

Late to the party. Heavy snow in the city with vis of 300ft. Easily 2"/hr rates going on. Wild out there for mid November.

I’m liking the gfs. Starting to pique my interest here. Couple of cooler ticks and we get off to a good start.

I’m still liking the 10-13th timeframe for potential. I see no reason to deviate from my thinking so far. I sniff some opportunities for a wintery appeal.

My spidey senses are tingling for the Nov 10-13ish period. Should be some chilly air around and if a coastal pops, someone might be in business for a wintery scenario. Long shot and could easily go poof.

First snow here. Just flurries but still quite early for these parts. 3C

46f for a high today with light rain. Has that deep fall feel out there.

The hurricane of yore.

Only a matter of time before the US got hit with a cane on the uptick. The last several threats have weakened before landfall, some surprisingly so. Perhaps Mike bucks that trend. Have to see what happens.

Quite the spinner that went through the burbs of Ottawa and Gatineau Yesterday. Looks like solid E/F2 possible E/F3 damage.

The whole lifecycle of Florence has been nothing but dramatic upticks and collapses. Perhaps one final uptick?

Something has been kicking Flo in the rump ever since the first EWRC. Seems like it stumbled and couldn’t gets its footing back. Should still cause some extensive damage with surge/flooding potential.

Not a bad scenario as the models show now. Can sit back and watch Flo rip someone's a$$ up from the comforts of my own home while enjoying the late summer weather as the WAR flexes its muscles. Not against that at all.

Lol at that gfs run. It’s like Flo can’t break through the ridge so she backs up, puffs her chest and gives it another go. Ok sure....

Any signs in the long range pattern that we should install soon?

Congrats on the snow. Some monster totals out there. Wow.

6z hi res Reggie looks good.

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

yeah.... pretty much 1974 - 1979 ... 

 

 

Thanks Tip

Yup prepare for the "you wanted it, you got it" posts.

In all seriousness, what is the longest a pattern has sustained itself? Could this ridge west/trough east, last a year? any previous examples of locked pattern longevity?

Would be a nice pattern in the winter. 

Ridge out west, trough in the Lakes and Northeast.

Third latest to 59f/15c ever, finally got there today.  Hit about 65.  It's been a brutal late spring.  And no to snow.  It's not even remarkable for yyt to report snow in June.  There's been 5" events in June.  How about snow for Halifax in June?  

I really want to see YYT report snow in June. Let's do this...lol


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