Hazey

66F with a light wind. Bit of a windchill but nothing a light jacket can't handle. Outside the dome but should get a taste of heat tomorrow before we normal again for the weekend.

This season was plagued by bad phasing. Could never get the streams to come together at the right time even when some big boy models said they would. Good thing the door is about closed on this winter. Grade C-. Snow for the holidays and decent snowfall retention saved it from being a total disaster. 

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Hey look, those nice cold temperatures we had all winter are suddenly gone..go figure 

Yup. fan on every pitch when cold air in place. Nice troll job mother nature...lol

Nice nor’easter rainer. This will probably track perfectly. No fast flow compression effects

I hear there is some space rock that might take us out in 8 years. Oh how we pray.

I guess if you want to crash land, you want to do it in Toronto. Second spectacular crash where no one was killed. Snow OTG probably aided with suppressing the post crash fire and enhancing survivability. Wild ride for those passengers regardless.   

Wow this thing will miss by a country mile. Not even close. Even worse of a whiff than I thought. Won’t even touch St. John’s. Nickel and dimes to a subpar season it seems. Optically it looks good though with long duration snow coverage.

She probably gone. Fast flow(blocking) not allowing to turn the corner. Can’t gain latitude and just glides east to ene. Seen this movie before. Struggle for the big ones this season.

Haven’t had a good sou’easter this winter. We are due for one or two.

The correction vector for these last few storms has been east(including the superbowl s/w). I wouldn't sweat 10 day details. One system at a time.

There is some kind of phasing issues going. Not the first time this winter that a s/w has trouble amplifying as it gets closer to go time. Maybe that fast compressed flow is more of a hinderance than fist thought. Kinda puts red flags on the next week threats too. 

Bit of a (dare I say) mini 2015 vibe. Last time I can remember snowfall means that impressive. Could be a great stretch coming up.

Pond and lake skating will be epic. A winter activity i haven't been able to do in years because lakes never froze over long enough and safe enough. A rare opportunity to explore some areas that would be hard to get to otherwise. We lace up our skates.

Gulf coast with larger snowfall and possibly more snow to date than Gander Nfld. That's mind blowing. 

This is a good example on why you need to blend guidance. Drive yourself nuts following every model as they bobble around honing in on the eventual track. Was, and still is a solid threat. Be good timing to lay down some pack before the cold. 

Icon and Euro have been pretty rock solid with their solutions. Canadian is probably the western goalpost. The goofus has been unimpressive since it belly flopped on last weeks s/w. Discard that for now until it steadies up...lol

Might have to let the JV models handle this one. The marquee models crapped the bed on the last threat. GFS to the slaughterhouse, Euro to the glue factory. 

12z Icon looking good. See what the rest of the model suites say. Lets keep that support going. 

We need a good cutter to shake things up. This current pattern is boring AF. The block need to be punted as it ain't doing nothing for us.

I’d like to kick this -nao to the moon. Hopefully breaks down soon.

Other than two runs of the goofus and a run, maybe two of the euro, has any other lr guidance shown a hit? Seems the odds were really stacked against this threat.

A whiff for Bermuda at 12z. A raging wind/rain/snow storm at 18z. Nice to see some stability with the GFS…lmao.

The Icon came dangerously close to crushing me with the s/w on the the 4th(Destroys Nick in St. John's). Definitely some west adjustments there on that run. I think the 6/7 could be in play especially for SNE.  

Ensembles still look solid. Bout all you can ask for at this timeframe. Long way to go before locking in op runs.

Finished with 5”. Total snow otg is 1’. Most snow for on this date in 40 years here. Merry Christmas.