Hazey

Latitude ftw.

Looking like a gradient pattern on the horizon. Mai tai’s vs hot chocolate?

EPS is decent looking. Got one or two chances in there. Looks cooler toward Christmas too. Can't ask for more than that.

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You guys are also forgetting the cold shot the GFS had prior to Christmas that is not happening now.

We passed Christmas already?? Sh1t I gotta lay off the Mai Tai's.

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lets take odds the Euro loses its day 9 cutter

This Sunday storm was advertised as a cutter too several days ago. No?

Sadly this isn't the euro of yore. Not sure why it's struggling.

Going to bring a tear to my eye to watch the euro folds like a cheap tent to the gfs. Might be a new sheriff in town

looks like the cmc caved to the gfs..finally. What a piece of crap that model is.

Rolled snake eyes in a supposed great pattern earlier this month. I'll take my chances with a less than favorable one. Still see potential in the days ahead.

Miller b on the gfs for next Tuesday

And a festive miracle on the 25th.

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Don't look at the 12z GGEM.

Nobody should be looking at it. It's a garbage model.

In all seriousness, there has been a bit more push back of the northern jet as modeling has come into the mid term. It’s compressing the flow which is somewhat muting the warm up to ebbs and flows. Wouldn’t shock me to see potential pop up if timing is right. Sneaky.

Wow. The gfs just threw the weenies it’s obligatory festive miracle run. Christmas is saved...lol.

Next weekends cutter is starting to morph into something else on the gfs. Seems to be a bit of a sh it streak passing to the north pushing the system more eastward. Not sure it will mean anything due to lack of cold air.

Nothing redeeming about that run of the euro. Only excitement will be keeping tabs on the flooding reports from NNE. That's not even rains to Maine. That's liquid to the Laurentians

 

Hard to take the GFS seriously in the long range. I know its post truncation but from hr 222 to 264, the slp is bouncing all over the place. But if one were to believe, It does look slightly better overall after the cutter.

Don Sutherland made a nice post in the NYC forum. Worth a read and stay the course.

Weenies trying to keep weekend storm alive

Unless we see a reorientation of the upper air pattern over the northeast, this storm is DOA.

I think this system has been flatlined for a little while now. A few weenies are still standing around the corpse waiting for it to jump up. Don’t think this storm will pull a Lazarus.

We will most likely be watching this from the sidelines but I tip my cap to those weenies trying to will this north. 

The new GFS is a raging torch at the end of it's run. Grinch is getting ready.

Speaking of weather stations, anyone have any thoughts on this product? I think it's relatively new.

http://weatherflow.com/smart-home-weather-stations/

4 minutes ago, Toekneeweather said:

How’s the euro look any northward movement?

Looks to have made a move toward the GFS. Appears to be a whiff on the 12z run or at the very least, not as good a run as 0z

Don't worry. The warm up will time perfectly for Christmas eve/day.  Hackey sack and frisbee after turkey dinner. Like days of festive yore.

Leo looks about to be crushed. That gale center to his east is going beast mode.

9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro ensembles a little more enthusiastic for Dec 5 than the OP. Hopefully we can ramp that one up. I agree that it's always preferable to "cheer" on the closer event since it has a higher probability of occurring than a system 3 days later.

 

That said, the Dec 8-9 system is there on the EPS as well.

I think the OP for the 5th is a perfect spot for the lead time especially since the euro has been showing a bit of an east bias.