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Hazey

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Everything posted by Hazey

  1. Hazey
    Normally I'd say a whiff is just want you want to see at this lead time. They always trend west but this year? who knows.
  2. Hazey
    Not boring up this way. Gonna have to watch that follow up low for Wednesday. Air mass will probably screw me but that’s close to a blue bomb if the heavy rates can get in here.
  3. Hazey
    Annnnd we’re off! First measurable of the season. Just shy of an inch but it’s a start.
  4. Hazey
    Try this http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=na&mod=ukmet
  5. Hazey
    A couple of head fakes and some weenies are stampeding for the exits...lol. Going to be a tough winter. At least we know the big storms models are blowing up in the 6-10 day timeframe are fraud. For now anyways.
  6. Hazey
    That look like a map taken from just about every storm last winter.
  7. Hazey
    The difference this season is that hopes aren’t inflated like last year. If this winter is sub normal, at least there was some indication that it could happen so not as much of a let down. Time will tell.
  8. Hazey
    First headfake of the season. From a snowstorm that almost whiffed to a swfe to a front in about 3 days. Very impressive
  9. Hazey
    This went from being a legit stand alone coastal storm to a low forming on the front as it swings through. The games models play.
  10. Hazey
    Still think many will see their first flakes. Either from the system itself or from flurries after it moves by. That’s a win for early November.
  11. Hazey
    The goal is to see first flakes. I still think that’s possible on the wrap around despite the amped and west track.
  12. Hazey
    Any snow in early November is good snow...unless it’s a big snow and screws the rest of the winter...lol.
  13. Hazey
    Be interesting to see in the gfs makes a move. The 18z ensemble mean was well north of the op run. See if it makes a correction this run.
  14. Hazey
    18z ICON back to a track over se mass. Still some jostling going on with track.
  15. Hazey
    Agreed. Could easily take a track that would guarantee snow in Jan and Feb but still be a cold rain in this early in November. Everything really needs to come together just right. We’ll see but expectations of big accumulations should be in check despite what models are showing.
  16. Hazey
    This dog will hunt. Models are coming around. Wintery weather inbound. Unknown to what degree.
  17. Hazey
    Hmm...maybe the goofus wasn’t so goofy after all. Still think this has room to manoeuvre. Comes down to the speed of that northern s/w.
  18. Hazey
    Solid hit here too. The euro shows how to get and early season snowstorm done. Kinda a compromise look between the amped models and the big whiff on the gfs.
  19. Hazey
    Nice to see the gulf open for business. With these cold shots progged to come in, even if the 8th falls flat, I feel there will be other opportunities. Pattern as modelled, looks decent.
  20. Hazey
    That threat next weekend is starting grow some legs. Could be the opening salvo of the winter.
  21. Hazey
    Wow at the temps. 67/62. Feels like spring. Won’t likely see these temperatures again til Christmas Eve/day
  22. Hazey
    Little doubt there will be a pretty stout cold air intrusion starting late next week. Question is how long it sticks around and if we can get a s/w to slide under us during that time. Models have been hinting at that over the last little bit. Next weekend timeframe.
  23. Hazey
    I think there is a small window for some possible wintery action just after Halloween. Models have been tossing around that idea every odd run.
  24. Hazey
    Cheap high of 60 this morning. Temps held in the low 50’s all afternoon. Now 46 and dropping. Wood stove fired up. First of the season.
  25. Hazey
    B-17 that crashed. Sad for the loss of life. Nice looking airplane too.
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