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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. WB 0Z GFS. Pretty consistent last 4 runs keeping heavier moisture to our south all work week.
  2. WB 18Z GEFS…. The upcoming week may be a bust but the ensemble still gives us a shot the second week of February.
  3. I was a kid in the late 60’s-70s and back then lived just outside the Beltway in PG. First 10 years of my life, 50% of those years had 10 inches or less….the first big snowstorm I remember is 1978, calm down everyone….
  4. Why on January 28 are we punting all of February already…WB 12Z EPS was not horrible.
  5. WB 6Z GFS. Upcoming 7 days is dry and with slightly above average temperatures.
  6. First wave is on life support. WB 18Z EPS took a step backward.
  7. WB 12Z EPS has some nice hits through day 8., so not fantasy range on ensemble. Keep hope alive at least until 0Z….
  8. This looks right: the Brunswick snow hole is alive and well on WB 12Z EURO.
  9. I am frustrated too, but come on everyone. 98% of the world’s population is poorer than us, malnourished, live in deplorable conditions, face wars and dictatorship etc. If the biggest frustration in your life is lack of snowfall, consider yourself very blessed!!!!
  10. Baby steps….6Z EPS compared to 12Z yesterday through day 6
  11. Only 1 Member of the GEFS has a heavy snow band through central VA next week, not a strong signal….
  12. What the WB 6Z GEFS is selling right now for next work week is slightly below temps for the DMV with the best precip. south of the area. Let’s see where things are on Monday. Nothing is locked in yet, but there is not a strong signal for snow on GEFS at this time.
  13. Light dusting on mulch and roofs in SW Frederick this am….
  14. Close enough to the weekend and we have some waves to watch next week….let’s see if we keep trending positively over the weekend….WB 0Z EPS yesterday compared to today for the upcoming week… TGIF!!!
  15. One of the factors that may explain the difference between GEFS and EPS is the MJO forecast. We need to stay out of warm phase 4.
  16. I hope the overnight runs are keying onto the upcoming potential but there is no trend yet. Just a lot of run to run volatility to keep hope alive. The 0Z EURO run with snow on snow was the best model run of the season but it is just one run with modest EPS support at best.
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