Weather Will

We have had only one snowy week this winter; even you were troubled at times that the long range models were not snowier in response to the great H5 looks. I wish I had a few inches of snow for every great H5 map shown in the threads this winter....reality sucks sometimes; nothing done in these threads has any effect on the actual weather. People should not use me as a scapegoat for the bad winter; or what unfortunately turned out to inaccurate prognostications. Finally, I really wish the medium/ long range threads were reserved for people's thoughts on weather, if you don't like what I post don't read it! If it is an inappropriate post, mods can delete it. If you thing the weather maps I show do not accurately depict what is going to happen post your own thoughts on what will happen.

I know mid to late March is getting real late but the guidance has not folded yet like it did for February. If/ when it does then I will show that. I really don't understand the personal attacks in this place.

WB latest GEFS control also has a storm after the 20th. May be too little too late but more digital snow than late February ever showed.

Oh and there is a storm on the WB EPS control for the late March- early April period if you are dreaming of a White Easter.

I'm hoping for one 20 plus degree below normal day in this period and then call it a winter....

One of the things I'm watching closely is the trend in cold air anomalies toward the end of March. Little colder this run....comparisons to a week ago and about two weeks ago.

WB latest weekly still likes the late March period.

WB 12Z GFS.... at least it is something to keep an eye on, if nothing else a lot of beneficial rain this week.

WB 6Z GEFS.....under 10 days away....

It is late, but the later part of March is still on the teetering table. WB latest weekly.

Head to the Sierra.... (CNN) Snowfall rates are expected to reach extreme levels of 3 to 5 inches an hour from Friday through Saturday – especially along the Sierra Nevada. The prolonged extreme snowfall means 6 to 10 feet of snow could bury parts of the Sierra in just a matter of two to three days.

WB 6Z GFS; snow on snow....

Latest teleconnections from WB EPS weeklies say don't give up yet;

Trying to understand the MJO better. Heading through 7 toward 8 seems to be a good thing as we head later into March. In all seriousness, not giving up yet on the period. I mean we have been focusing on 6 but it goes through 6 quickly.

Tracking mirages is better than pages of fixation on how warm the world is... I know it is a long shot. But one can always dream of a white Easter... Maybe this is the year that we get a white Easter, a category 5 hurricane up the Bay, and a white Christmas.

WB EPS weekly 7 day period toward end of March...

WB latest EPS control ....seeing a storm at the end of March to our south is a nice sign....

WB 12Z GEFS....on our way up...and GEPS...guess will keep my heat mats down another week....

Yah the first 10 years of my life were bad snow years in the DMV. No one was blaming heat back then though....

Very depressing; maybe a ferocious hurricane season will cool the Atlantic Scientists Are Freaking Out About Ocean Temperatures https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/27/climate/scientists-are-freaking-out-about-ocean-temperatures.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

WB 0Z EPS: may be too little too late but teleconnections are improving the next two weeks.

WB EPS control...Day 11

Summary of this winter, Greek god Tantalus.

WB 18Z GFS and GEFS: Put all my chips on the Day 11 period and call it a winter. P19 is it!!!!

So a + PDO could diminish La Niña effects next winter to give us some hope?