Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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6Z
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0Z Mon.
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I agree that the NAMs are not good, but they do sometimes show red flags: like the low out west not ejecting east, or a Great Lakes low appearing. No flies in the ointment in this run that I can see at 0Z.
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WB 0Z 12K NAM at Fantasy range.
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Well it's cousin 12K NAM is hot on its heels.
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WB 0Z HRRR at 48 hours
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Only a few ensembles show heaviest accumulations north of our area at 18Z. There is some buffer room if a more amped solution occurs, but then the exact track will really matter. (WB 18Z EPS).
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Ok, dusted off the EPS snow prob. Maps. 12, 6 and 3 inches from WB 18Z EPS
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Caution, mix in southern zones.
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It is North. About an inch to MD line by Day 6. WB 28Z EURO.
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WB 18Z GEFS Sat am. Positive changes.
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What is very interesting is that the GFS is now a southern version UK/CMC nuke job.
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WB 18Z GFS compared to 12Z.
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WB 18Z AI GFS compared to 12Z.
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Cold day when you get in the car on a sunny day and it is still freezing.
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Piss Cape off and extrapolate at will: WB 18Z 12K NAM at fantasy range.
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18Z started. WB 18Z HRRR. Low moving onto west coast not diving SE toward Baha.
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WB 15Z NBM
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WB 12Z EPS compared to OZ.
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I see now....the first slug went SE and some people got excited. You were fine! I am setting my expectations for at least 6 inches; more than 12 inches and a 0 degree low would exceed expectations. But so much can happen in 6 days....long week ahead.
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Fell asleep again.... mid late morning Sunday.
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WB 6Z EURO at 1am Monday.
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The secret to a big storm is scheduling a major appointment two months in advance....looks like I'm rescheduling next Monday.
