Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 0Z EPS. There are some cold members in the days leading up to Christmas...
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I hope people care if we have an adequate water supply next summer.
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WB 18Z EURO: story the next 6 days is the much needed rain incoming Monday and Wed.
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Flurries!!!! Take what we can get....
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Latest WB EURO weeklies. Christmas looks near normal, not a torch....cold builds back into January and precip looks to be normal to above....not bad!
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WB 12Z GFS and Can. Both show welcome rain over the next 7 days early next week and next Th.
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MJO is going into 6 the week before Christmas. Hopefully, it will race through it so we can have a chance in January. Latest EURO weeklies look like the pattern could improve after the holidays. But that is the way it looks today, maybe the models will flip again by the end of next week to something more favorable for the holidays.
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WB 6Z 3K NAM
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WB EPS December 3rd control run is better....I agree with the general premise: give us cold air and at least we can say it feels like winter. and we have a chance to luck into a snow storm.
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WB 6Z 3K NAM.... take what we can get. Enjoy the Thursday flizzard....
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JB posted this map. In a video stated this forecasting method worked last year. He acknowledges no forecast of wind reversal at 10MB at this time.
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With our December snow chances on life support, WB's JB sees a stratwarm later this month that will cause an arctic outbreak in mid January...
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Few slow flurries in Brunswick... not sticking but flurries/ light snow continuing...wintry day!!!
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Watch the MJO as we go through December. Quicker it passes through warm phase 6 the better....
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Weather story this week is the sustained cold period....at least it will feel like winter...(WB 0Z EURO)
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Cold day for the end of November.... baby steps...
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WB SST....ocean anomalies mean a perfect track storm can still be warm unfortunately...
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Not saying one run of the EURO is correct, I just said the Euro 12Z suite looked cold and dry.
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Both.
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I see why no one talked about the 12Z EURO suite...dry and cold....
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Lot of misses on GEFS and with the globals too warm on their latest runs not high confidence but we are in the stadium. Not shut the blinds like most Decembers.
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WB 6Z GEFS, couple of these 9 hits would even make Ji happy....
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Looking at the WB latest EPS weeklies, if I had to guess, it will get milder later this month, but pattern may reload in mid January....not a torch period but seasonable on average. Seven day snow mean for the mid December to mid January period is highest after the holidays...
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WB 0Z EPS shows cold and warm members as we head to mid month. While the control is off the charts negative with the PNA, there is more variability among individual members.
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We really are in rare air around here....been a long time since all the members at Day 6 are cold....WB 18Z EPS.
