Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 12z EURO stronger shortwave at 15Z Sat. compared to 0Z same time.
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12Z EURO does not like NAM's TH. am freezing rain or the GFS Friday snow... (Shocker)…..waiting for Sat night.
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12z GEFS Members thru early Sat. So we have 3 impulses to watch for frozen? Freezing rain overnight Wed 12k NAM only., Friday/early Sat. (GFS only), and Sat. night Early Sunday (King and everyone else.)
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WB 12Z GEFS. Note a dusting of this accumulation is from Friday.
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Still there...see my 6z EPS post above.
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As indicated weekend low still there, but not as strong this run. WB 12Z GFS for weekend.,
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WB 12Z 12K NAM still showing freezing rain for overnight Wed./early Th. If the global models start to show this, someone should open a thread.
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WB 6z EPS Control...(Mean is not as good.) for the weekend. Only about 20-25% of individual members on Board.....stay tuned. We are still 4.5 days out. That means 70-75% chance of another disaster.
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I did...see above
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WB 6Z GEFS for weekend....increasing chance of snow. Let’s hope it holds or increases more through today’s runs.
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I don’t see any prohibition as long as it is not for commercial use. I would presume moderators would tell me if it was inappropriate or WB would send me a nastigram.
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WB 6Z GFS trending toward EURO for weekend which is good!
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WB 6Z 12K NAM gives significant icing overnight Wed,. To NW areas.
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WB 0z EPS 3 inch or more prob map thru Day 15. Best it has looked in awhile.
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WB 0z EPS for weekend. Still only weak support. You can do the math since I get so much grief for it...
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WB 0z EURO for weekend...
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WB 18z EPS everyone hug 45 GN
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It is very scenic, but far out.....
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18Z EURO thru early Friday no frozen precipitation
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Yes it is. I currently work in DC and live in Brunswick. I see the rain/snow line on the train rides.
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I can say emphatically that I have seen on numerous occasions bare pavement and nothing on Capital Hill in DC and several inches in the nearby suburbs outside the Beltway with the same storm. If it snows an inch outside the Beltway as depicted I am skeptical the inside the Beltway crowd see anything.
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Agreed, but do you really think that inch is going to accumulate on ground this warm? It is not realistic.
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I set the bar higher on the probability posts by looking at 3 inches or more. Think it is too optimistic to use the one inch maps which inflates the probability. 15 of the 20 or 75% show some “frozen” but who cares if you have to get out the microscope to measure it in real life.
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WB 18z GEFS for the weekend. About 6 or 30% look nice for NW zones.
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WB 12z EPZ Snow Probs. No real changes in probabilities still. Day 10 plus. One casual observation is that the probs are now increasing to our SW....I like that.
