Weather Will

WB overnight extended GEFS control sees some cold coming…

It’s mid December, not mid March, everyone relax—- at least until the cold spell in late month early January also disappears.

WB 18Z EURO flurries to our north at 7am. Nothing rest of day….I am not waking up for the overnight run.

Sterling NWS take this afternoon… So, overall there is still some uncertainty, but looking like a decent shot for some of the area to see the first snowfall of the winter (east of the mountains of course). Preliminary forecast gives a broad 1-2" along and west of I-95. There is the potential for higher amounts with this storm in areas of mesoscale banding. These are notoriously difficult to predict the exact location of, so at this point, uncertainty is too high to speculate where those higher amounts may be. Stay tuned to the latest forecast for this potential winter storm at weather.gov/lwx/winter.

WB 18Z GFS

WB 18Z 12K. Would take 2 inches in Phase 6 MJO in a heartbeat.

Dr. No is on a roll today. December seasonal update says we wait until April for normal temps.

WB 12K NAM

True but the WB 0Z EURO control has next weekend’s event… so GFS is not complete fantasy.

WB 6Z EURO. Seems like the best we can hope for in the midweek storm is a general 1-3 if everything comes together.

WB 6Z NAM is getting on bd. It will be interesting to see the 6z EURO…

WB 6Z GFS. Midweek and next weekend,

18Z EURO ensembles are in line with its deterministic. Weak, south, etc.

It’s early in the season folks. We will have a 100 failures and be lucky to have five hits….

But the EURO has been awful. Let’s wait for the ensembles

Yes compared to GFS

Yes. 6 days. I will post when it comes in.

WB 18Z GEFS 3 inch or more percentage took a nice jump…hopefully beginning of a trend.

WB GFS Next weekend fantasy storm…

WB 12Z GEFS for midweek disturbance.

WB GEFS extended control from last night. I will take the Royal Flush….

WB 12Z EPS…10- 20 percent chance…

WB latest Extended GFS….don’t worry we get flurries on Christmas Day…

I barely saw any snow…

WB 12Z EURO….Nasty cold rain