NYCweatherNOW

3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

This map is always overinflated, as Allsnow has pointed out. The one that he posted tends to be more accurate and shows more like a 4 inch snowfall, compared to the 5 that this one is showing. Nice to see the NAM go colder though. 3 to 4 inches is looking like a decent possibility now.

At this point it’s all noise. It looks like a 2-5 inch snowstorm with a little rain or drizzle at the end. I’m happy with that after this horrible winter!

Solid 5 inches area wide nam 3K

Could New York City get 5-6 inches? Nam looks it

Gefs looks better than OP. Let’s see if we can get this to get a blue bomb out Off the coast of Long Island.

2 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

I don’t pay attention to the GFS this close in, I like the mesos, the NAM and HRRR have actually done pretty good this winter, the RGEM, Euro have done very poorly as has the CMC. I think the UKMET has performed better so far, it was way too cold last winter though

I think you just pay attention to the models that show the least snow but correct me if I’m wrong that’s just my opinion!

2 minutes ago, Barman49 said:

Is it just me or does Upton seem pretty aggressive with 3-4 at JFK? I know it's a light south wind but that seems a bit optimistic no?

Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk
 

I think it’s because It’s trending like a 3-6 inch snow event with basically ending as some drizzle or a shower. This is why they’ve upped the totals in my opinion

3 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

very true

They’re not going to cancel your delivery it’s going to get delivered before it gets semi bad. The roads may get snow covered tomorrow though it will get tricky at one point.

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

3-4" would be like a HECS this season. 

Nice to see things trend positively as we get close to the event for once. 

Lol seriously this will be a nice event because we haven’t really had any snow. Hoping we get 3-5 areawide tomorrow and next week looks a little better for us. Hopefully that trends into a big east coast storm!

Just now, Snow88 said:

 

Not the point. 

This was a lakes cutter

Agreed the models are all over the place. It’s a good sign that it’s closer that’s all we can look at right now

All these teleconnections you guys post about in my opinion is a bunch of clown maps. They’re never right! So why even give them credit so much. I just want to say thank you God for finally giving us some snow tomorrow I’m really feening!

3 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Exactly 

Yet that’s all he talks about. I’ve been saying this for so long you can’t trust the models past 3 days for weather, for temperatures it seems like 5-6 days is decently accurate

Nam 3k is all snow from Staten Island and north no rain what so ever! Very nice event. 3-5 for the city

49 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Do a trip to Quebec City.  Tons of snow, close by, feels like you are in Europe, great food, great boutique hotels, history, restaurants...best winter city in North America.

124 inches of snow annually

Just now, HVSnowLover said:

The trends today have been positive in starting the city below freezing at the beginning of the storm, this would really help with accumulation

Dry cold ground, instant accumulations especially if it comes in like a wall like the Nam is depicting. Also we get into the deform band at the end when it’s trying to sleet and rain up

Nam stays mostly snow ends as drizzle even for us weenies in NYC

1 minute ago, Animal said:

Nam’d

Also it’s basically all snow for everybody stays very cold throughout the whole storm

3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

NAM looks good, also seems to be showing signs of secondary development if I'm viewing it correctly

Looks good for 2-4 I’ll take that and run fast

Heavy snow/sleet in Manhattan right now. Looks like it’ll last for ten-fifteen minutes

55 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said:

6z GFS says break out the yardsticks as it shows a day 10 snow bomb. In this winter to forget why do I keep torturing myself?

There’s a chance we get a snow squall tomorrow Afternoon once the low off the coast of Maine starts drifting southeast and out to sea! That’s a strong cold front headed towards us setting up for our first decent snowfall this year!
I don’t expect any accumulations just mood graupel-snow shower.

14 minutes ago, West Mtn NY said:

I know we will turn the corner this week into winter well into March. Just that you are running with clown maps days in advance since November when NYC Ave high was 50 throwing out accumulations and arguing why with nothing but a way off clown map to back you. You become chicken little after awhile. I know you love snow but the board has to be somewhat fact grounded to prevent it from becoming unreadable. 

Okay I’m sorry if you guys feel that way

SREF mean hmdid go up slightly but still shows minimal accumulations. Figured I’d post it since no 0z runs came out yet.

1 minute ago, NutleyBlizzard said:

Would yellow stone be big enough for you?

Yellowstone would kill us all, that’s the biggest super volcano in the world lol

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

This is a tricky event because the south flow and position of the high.  Its definitely a case where EWR can see 6 and JFK 0 but sometimes here the southerly gradient is overestimated on models beyond 60-72 because what you end up with in the end is still a bit of a funky CAD type sig that sets up turning winds more ENE or forcing a lighter gradient than what the globals see a 3-4 days out

I think there is no way Newark gets 6 inches and jfk gets 0, sorry I disagree! I think that’s impossible!

Eps?