NYCweatherNOW

6 minutes ago, Barman49 said:

That's what I said we would need a benchmark track and the low bomb out. Same thing different wording.

Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
 

Euro already shows a bombogenesis from hour 174 and on. It drops over 24 millibars in less than 24 hours in fact it drops 35 millibars from 174-198 hours as the low comes up the coast. Classic nor’easter signature. That’s a bombing out low. remember every model has problems reading the dynamic cooling and evaporative cooling. They are 99% of the time warmer than what they should be especially at the onset. What happens after they are better but that usually consists of a inland low, this would be a miller A which wouldn’t consist of any warm layer surging up. This would be getting colder and colder but the model doesn’t show that, and that’s why in my opinion is wrong. Euro does show a benchmark track

4 minutes ago, Barman49 said:

I would never look at a r/s line this far out. Just pointing out what the Euro shows. Of course this could change as we get closer. Just no more cutters please.

Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
 

Most likely a storm that big with marginal cold, with a good track like that it would make its own cold air and dynamically cool all columns as the storm deepens! Just pointing out things you didn’t point out!

13 minutes ago, Barman49 said:

Euro is close but no HP up north gonna need this thing to bomb near benchmark to give us all snow.

Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
 

It’s good for now. Don’t look at the rain snow line at this time.

Euro big hit!

euro A lot better than last night nice coastal 987 right off the coast of Delmarva.

6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Wow nobody discussing today's rainstorm

Who wants rain although I’m happy I’m getting a free car wash my car was full of salt!

6 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Agree. That 5-8 timeframe is probably the best look we had all winter. The ridge in central Canada moves into Greenland with a decent pacific.

I’m willing to bet we’re going to produce during that timeframe  

Cmc is a miss 

That would be the storm of 21st century. Category 2 storm off the coast of Cape Cod. James must be excited looking at that!

9 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Nope not a cutter 

Very strong storm just offshore

100 Miles west and it’s a blizzard everywhere

9 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Once again a strong HP is in place for days prior to the storm then as the storm approaches it escapes and the heaviest snow is inland - this solution has a reasonable chance of verifying IMO and its only a week away

I’m sorry but you aren’t changing to rain with a 984 low off the coast New Jersey. This would be a huge blizzard if the icon verified. Doubt it is right whether it’s a blizzard or not but with that track, the euro had a similar track yesterday at 12z and it was way colder and it never changed to rain unless you were smith town Long Island  and east.  The depiction on the euro was even more tucked! I believe we got a big storm coming

24 minutes ago, Barman49 said:

Has it ever been right? It's a hires model correct?

Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
 

Icon is the worst model ever for thermals. It’s always too warm. Track wise it’s been a lot better than the worst which has to be the Canadian with its erratic placements of lows

59 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

But the 0Z ICON and Canadian still have it reaching us-and the 06 GFS has a great track but liquid here

Icon and Canadian are the worst models ever. Not saying it won’t change in fact I think it’s coming just the models are still confused how to phase those two pieces of energies.

that gfs run is from yesterday.

26 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

They are all joking

I was joking too it’s over

Too early for any calls

Euro is a big miss!

Euro looks like it’s going to be a wide right and a miss. Oh well just another run went from a blizzard to nothing

12 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

In thIs crappy winter this weenie map is our desperate attempt to satisfy our inner child. How low we have sunk. 

We’re weenies that’s what you get

Just now, dendrite said:

There’s nothing worse than wasting lots of snow on the major megalopolis cities. 

Come on dude we need it we’re feening our here. Just one big blizzard and a few smaller events and I’ll be happy

49 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Idk I kinda liked the Euro 

I loved the euro that would be a true blizzard from DC to Boston

22 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Everyone is in the game this far out but of course the interior always has a bigger chance. 

If it’s a true coastal bomb I’d like to be in the city for this!

14 minutes ago, Greg g said:

That would mess up a lot of super bowl plans for many many people 

I wouldn’t mind that, I’d just watch the game home! It would be perfect!

7 minutes ago, PB-99 said:

Blizzard 2020

7 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Getting out there in the uber long range but I like the 5th-8th timeframe. Better airmass with some blocking. 

Yes I would look for an anafrontal event here around the 5th or so...

I would watch the February 5th timeframe for a big anafrontal snow event!