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How about 18z eps
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That’s too much snow bro! I don’t mind 2 feet but anything above that is dangerous eidt: can’t believe I said that
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Yeah GFS is the most likely solution. It’s been so persistent with this solution. Maybe we get an inch but I think this is mostly a rain storm for us. It just doesn’t want to snow here. I think ukmet corrects itself as a cutter tonight. I give up!
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According to icon 18z we’d get some extremely heavy snow turn to ice. That’s worse than just a snow event like ukmet shows. By the way icon only goes out to 120hrs and the storm is halfway done. This would be a disaster!
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Icon is just a bit better which was already good. Snow to ice
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Does anyone have the ibm model run?
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I’m going to ride out the best model and say ukmet is wrong. Let’s see what the best model shows in half hr (eps) fwiw ukmet did excellent with Sunday’s event in he middle Atlantic while gfs and it’s nemesis para and Canadian were very volatile.
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3rd actually eps euro ukmet
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Imo it is a better run. It has the high by North Dakota weaker and the confluence to our north is stronger. Move that low 100 miles SE and you’ll get buried with a foot of snow like the ukmet shows. It is concerning obviously the best model shows a messy storm (mostly rain for us) but this could change it is still 4 days away. We have thunder and ukmet on our side 2nd best and I don’t know which rating does the thunder have but still a long ways out!
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Anyone have the soundings for ukmet looks to be a cold snowstorm for us in the coastal plain with that track?
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Ukmet would be all snow in my opinion
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Ukmet would be all snow wouldn’t it?
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This weather thing got me upset. I need a break from these models. Everything is warm now!
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I can’t wait I’m hoping for a big coastal and all snow could happen! Ukmet and thunder are on board!
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Go big or go home lol. I still think we should open a thread for a 1-2 inches why not this way we separate the discussions.
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Any word on the 06z eps run?
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Ummm u have snow coming Thursday night and Sunday night
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I don’t believe that. I think the nam solution looks more trustworthy. Thanks though
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How about New York City sorry to bother you
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FV3 beat the regular GFS November 15th snowstorm but ever since it’s been horrible not saying it’s depiction is wrong.
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With this track, it would be all snow for nyc region
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Yeah that high just scoots east 1042 high is hard to move like that but that is one strong system depiction on the gfs
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I just hope this doesn’t become a coastal runner because that high seems way to our northwest. A couple of days ago it showed it over north of Michigan now it’s like north of North Dakota.
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Lock it up. Also I think February and early March is very cold and snowy
