Snowcrazed71

4 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

So cue the 2-4 forecast when someone gets in from his run...

Well.... To be more exact ... 2-4/3-6. I mean... It's coming by his word! Lol

Yeah... A dusting to an inch at best. 

There's nothing on the map for at least 10 days. 

15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I honestly don’t know what people like him are talking about?  Who? Who is saying things that are all positive?  Nobody is!  We discuss the pattern and talk about what it may, or may not support, and that’s all.  

He says things to try and elicit an angry response, and that’s why I blocked him. Cuz 99.9% of what he says is absolute inflammatory nonsense.  For example- “Winter is Very Close to over!”   Really?WTF?  On January 8th..I mean how is that even rational.    He is a Monster Troll, and that’s a fact. 

Yep! 

24 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Not really. But i respect others do

Right.... There's my point... You're not really on here because you have a passion for winter. You're only on here to troll. It is what it is, and call it what you'd like. But you just said it yourself. Join a forum down south. You'll probably do better there

47 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Concerning the heart of winter, this one's cooked locally. No meaningful snow (major/sig) on the horizon which basically wipes 2/3 of winter including peak coldest climo

Dork. Keep trying...lol

7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

the end of winter is near, very very near. less so for NNE/N ME of course, they have months and months

I know we haven't seen much, but to say it's almost done. Come on man.

25 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Breathe easy folks.

Lol... This guy is truly a joke. 

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Eh, I could do without it.

Please ........   You know Kev is drooling at the mouth and his panties are moist  thinking of a ice storm. 

21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

yeah you're looking at a perfect example of how phasing fails when dx outpaces dy in the geometry of stream interactions

in other words, the s/w are moving too fast    ...it's been a problem in recent years.    

So what we need is Superman to come and spin around the earths orbit about 100 times to slow it down. That should do the trick. 

14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

It literally makes me sick. Don’t worry though, the models will make it up by being unanimously unwavering on the D10 cutter.

Funny thing is .. someone just said the year was showing a Mid-Atlantic snowstorm for day 10 LOL. I told them.... please, pay no attention till we get a few days out.

9 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Euro has that d10 threat as a mid Atlantic snowstorm 

Exactly why I said wait to get closer

4 minutes ago, George001 said:

The next window is 1/19-21. Although the antecedent airmass is good, I am not optimistic about this setup and would pump the breaks here. Why?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/eps/2025010800/eps_z500a_namer_45.png

1. The western ridge axis is a lot more west than ideal. Classic east coast cyclogenesis setups have that ridge centered over Montana, not south of Alaska. 
2. The trough is positively tilted with energy getting buried in the SW again. This raises concerns about missed phasing.

I suppose an SWFE type system is possible, but there isn’t a lot of room for error here. It’s more of a thread the needle type setup, if you phase too early (if there is a phase, it would likely be west of where we want it), the storm cuts and it’s a Midwest blizzard while we rain. If you don’t phase, it gets shunted south and we get nothing. 

 

If we've learned anything from the storm, well, no storm that we were getting this Saturday, everything is on the table. Table. There is no definitive. This is going to happen or that's going to happen. It's 10 days out. A discussion on the possibilities is always a good thing. But saying it's going to be a cutter, or it's going to slide to the south of us, or it's an SWFE.... No idea

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Oh, btw...I blew it on this.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/01/back-to-regularly-scheduled-cold-dry.html

 

He did the best you could do. And I think a lot of other professionals were heading in the same direction until they weren't!

Man, if we can just get that storm to back up a little bit, I would be very happy with 2 to 4 in.

54 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Majority of people would want a negative NAO, negative AO , negative epo and positive PNA but maybe too favorable isn't a good thing ?

It just is bad timing for us. As we all know, sometimes the worst setups can give us the biggest storms. It's all the little pieces and parts that come together that create the big ones. The crazy thing is, when we have something that shows it could be big, boy do my spirits go up even higher as well as everyone else in here. Have to be honest, part of me doesn't even want to be in here. But, it's like a drug. 

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Maybe Tip can start a thread.

Some of you guys are evil!! Lol

2 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Whistling past the graveyard... 

Don't tell me the NAM gave the storm a little breath of life? 

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Think it’ll juice up more . Grab some Atlantic moisture . .10-.20

I love your enthusiasm. But this one is truly a dead deal. If we see a coating, that's about all. One to three. No, two to four. Forget it. 

If It turns into 2-4, then I guess you'll be king..lol

So, I would have to say that the Euro really had this one all week long. Thoughts?

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Wow so boring

Yeah.... Disappointed to say the least. 

What sucks even more is there is nothing showing for the next 10 days.

This storm threat is dead for us ... Maybe a coating to an inch Saturday... At best!

Truly a let down. But, gotta hope for something before Winter is over.

What a stellar month we have on top fellas! 

It turned to nothing for us in the Northeast. We have the cold, but no storms. They are all being surpressed to the south. 

I was just thinking about that Storm Nemo, in February 2013. Now that was a storm.

This threat is over. But, not giving up hope for the rest of the Winter. Of course... There's always next Winter...

What's that? Lol

I'm just going to go with..... We're getting nothing. That way if we do get something it will feel like a good thing. 

31 minutes ago, George001 said:

I’ll pass on these 2-4/3-6 solutions. Wasted potential doesn’t sit right with me, it’s difficult to get excited about half a foot of snow when there is always the what if…. It could have been so much more.

I won't, it'll just build up The pack on the ground. You know what they say. Snow breeds snow