Snowcrazed71

Regarding the 7th and the 10th, the models are going to keep on changing as we're well aware. Yesterday's runs were amazing last night runs were okay.... We're going to have the models going back and forth. I think we'll have a really good idea for the 7th, probably by this Thursday/Friday.

12 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Uncle is a crusher!  Similar to CMC.  If Euro is similar we have d7 goalposts with GFS furthest SE.

Is there a map of the latest?

32 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Bye Felicia 

36 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

why?  do you want CNE/NNE to get screwed?  that's kinda tiring too

Now you're being passive aggressive lol.

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Kev is toe tapping at electric blue to that euro run

I'd say many of us are...lol

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Days and days and days of snows 

We hope ( I'm feeling the changes coming ). 

1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

And the weenies were rejoicing this morning on… who the eff knows.

You know, you guys can run these loops too…Just sayin’.

Hope springs eternal.

You are a mess man. Maybe you should find another place to spread your " WORD "

19 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Oh definitely. Like a faux hurricane strike at D8, just fun to track but no ones taking it too seriously, right? The past few pages are surely not setting up disappointment if nothing comes of it?

Truth be told. We haven't had anything decent to track since early December ( and that was northern NNE ). 

Now..is this definitely going up happen. No. Is it more possible than we've had this season for all the areas that have not seen any Snow yet, yes! I myself am happy for the possibilities that are upcoming. 

So as of right now, is the 4-5 threat off the table? Or is it still a possibility in southern New England? The 6-7 threat looks like it's a non-threat right now... And that threat 11-12 still looks like the most potent at this point, correct?

Not going to lie, but it does suck. Hopefully when April comes we can look back and say things turned around late January and we had a great February. All of this will be forgotten. But time will tell

25 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Until the storm comes in, and with it the pacific air.

 

Are you a meteorologist ( just curious )? 

It Seems like very bias to not having snow around here. I know the pattern is not ideal, but you really lean towards two and gloom in the Northeast. Northeast. Maybe you're right, but things can also change even a few days out.

27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yup. He literally can do it all. The Steeldrivers stuff is awesome . A lot of it sounds like his solo stuff now. 

 

Ok... Maybe we should open a thread for Country music Winter Blues..... 

Now... Focusing on what this thread is. It really feels like the models ( all of them ) really have no good idea of what is going on. It has been like this for the last few years. Almost feel like they are somewhat worthless as there is no true direction.

I remember just several years back when we would follow the evolution of the storm on the euro. We would pretty much follow the path a week out, except for the fact that maybe it would deviate 100 or so miles one way or the other. But we had a good picture of where something was going. We just haven't had that with any storm. It seems from either the Euro or GFS?

44 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’d be more like Kong….

21 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

This is depressing 

We are all screwed right now 

In past winters , I would be screwed down here in NYC with SWFE or clippers but the whole northeast is terrible right now.

Have you been talking to George? Are you George? Is George you? Hmmm.....

I received. 2.65 in of rain from this event since Wednesday. 

21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

But losing December ruins the winter 

No it doesn't. Would it have been nice to have some snow? Yes. Would it have been a nice to have a white Christmas? Yes.

If It ruined winter for you then why are you still on here? The answer to that question is because you still do want to have winter. If you didn't you wouldn't be on here. Let December go and look to the future.

14 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Today’s GFS next 15 days .. 40s to near 50 everyday in CT except one. Lows barely below freezing that’s hardly a pattern change from most of December.  We haven’t had a high below 32 since February 28th.. Average high at bdl is 37

Funny, Ryan's forecast has us around 45 for Saturday and then low 40s for most of the week. Dropping to the 30s next weekend.

3 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Ok, I could find many posts like this from you last year with no concern or changes but I regress.  I’m not seeing the big flip at all nor do I see it in the teleconnections.  It’s an ugly pattern out to the next two weeks and don’t see why week 3 or 4 would prove different

 

Well, for the sake of winter and for all of us winter enthusiasts, let's hope that you are wrong. I don't think you really care one way or the other because you like to stir the pot and just annoy people, but, still hope that you're wrong

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Most posters here are simply sick and tired of the promises. If it doesn’t snow a lot .  One or two snowfalls in Jan.. ok sure .. that’s a change.. from 0.0 to 2.6. But who does that satisfy other than some hooker?

When it comes down to it, no one can promise what weather is going to do. The best models can't predict what's going to happen two weeks out, so how the hell can one person predict what will happen? 

We've all seen those surprise storms that just come out of almost nowhere, we've also seen the big storm that's coming that then either disappears or get shunted out just a day or two before. The element of surprise is always a factor in weather. That's why no one can say what's going to happen until we get to the end of March and look back on what actually happened. 

17 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

You must get the alternate ending version(s) of the models...

Why...were they not good?

43 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It’s interesting in that day 8 to 13 range how different the flavor of the GEFs are to the EPS.  It’ll be interesting to see which side caves

It seems every time one model shows something good happening two weeks out and the other shows it not so good. The good model caves to the bad outcome. We have yet to see a bad outcome cave for a good outcome.... Emphasize " yet "

31 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

this has to be one of the worst christmas snow maps ever

Yeah, old news and everyone knows that already. But thanks for the update of the past..lol 

1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

EPS nice in long range, many members have monster snowstorms in that Jan 6-8 range 

Any maps to show the possibilities. That's all we have at this moment lol.

Trying to keep the hope alive

1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Surprising how we are still so torched post this coming weekend with the pattern change.  Just no cold air to work with GFS is still +5 to +15 for the weekend and much of next week.  Highs 45-50 still in these parts with lows around freezing. 

Maybe I'm stretching here, but you're not going to be 45 to 50 after this Thursday. Friday, Saturday supposed to be a bit chilly, but for next week where you are, you're probably going to be in the load of mid 40s at the most for all of next week. Not 45 to 50. But it still doesn't get us any snow lol so it doesn't matter much I guess

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I wasn’t being disrespectful, it was a serious question. You call it pessimism, I call it being realistic.

This season has blown chunks so far and it looks like we’ll continue to sit on our hands for the foreseeable future 

The thing is, I don't disagree with you. It's not looking that great, I'm not sure if it will actually turn around. Sorry for getting a little defensive. I get where you're coming from and I didn't mean for it to turn into a battle lol. Here's to hoping

10 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

How was his post lacking respect? Lol.  I may not agree with the pessimism but are we looking for everyone to bow down to our thoughts?

Not here to fight. I come here like everyone else ... Looking for something that we all come on here for..... To track Winter. I know it's been a tough start... And might be a bad season... But it also might turn around. I'm not asking for anyone to bow down. Just asking to stop the pessimism.