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Snowcrazed71

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    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    Am I not mistaken that in the past, some of you have said that the euro is not at its best when it's within 12 hours of the start of a storm? Point is if the euro looks shitty at this moment, do we really follow it. GFS looked good for us here in Connecticut, the Rgem was a nice hot. I think wobbles at this point just as they are common noise

    January 2024 -- Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

    gives the berks some front end snow but that's about it. Others have said that this is still worth watching for SNE but I would hedge against that. This one's for NNE IMO, and it may be for far NNE. time will tell

    I think there might be one for two or three days after that that could be a biggie for everyone... But we have time for that

    January 2024 -- Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    21 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

    GFS coming in colder for the 13th, looks more like euro. Whites crushed on the front end

    What does it look like for the rest of the area? Is it just the northern New England deal or is it look like it could be something for Southern New England as well?

    January 2024 -- Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

    I like the 13th period. GEFS mean cuts to the lakes but it's been very consistent on the OP runs except for a few runs yesterday. Transfers the low to the benchmark, cold air in Canada, I like that period for a region wide event. 

    We pray

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

    Funny, SOO glad to be out of (living) in CT. I just NEVER understood the appeal of West Hartford... you couldn't pay me to live there!

    I don't live in West Hartford, I work in West Hartford. Love where we are in Plainville. I'm up on rattlesnake mountain so I'm a little higher up than the area around me. Super quiet where we are, lots of wildlife, the schools are great here for my daughter.

    West hartford's a very dynamic mix of people. You definitely get the yuppies who thinks they're shit? Don't stink, but you do get a good mix of other people as well ( at least the clients I have in my showroom ). 

    We have good friends in Simsbury which is a great town.

    • Like 1

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    I miss West Hartford...certainly got screwed at times, but was pretty fortunate to have three 2' snow events. I hate it here in Springfield. I so can't wait to move back into CT. 

    Funny. I used to live up in East longmeadow and then somers. Back in Plainville and How much happier back this way. Work in West Hartford and really love the area

    • Like 1

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    I'm hoping the 12Z runs settle it back down a bit from the NAM ( My gut is will come down a little from what the name showed and not be has North ).

    If it does go more north, then we wait a little longer. That's all we have lol. It has been fun tracking the so far... I think it will still see a good four to eight inches in Connecticut

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

    Time for a pope rising from ashes meme

    thou I think he said suppressed and Mild

    Lol... He did have it suppressed to the south.

    One thing about the NAM ... I've seen several times a day or two before a storm where it had it too far north and would correct itself as a storm was going. I'm not sure I buy this super North trend on this model. I still think it's trended north but not this far. We shall see

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    This is why NWS remains conservative until the last possible moment....there are subtle ebbs and flows in guidance that have relatively large impacts on sensible results and are not worth compromising consistency until very late in the game.

    I agree, and I have a sneaky suspicion that the 12Z runs will bump it back down again. I truly don't think that late last night and this mornings runs are the final outcome. They have been fluctuating back and forth like this for the last few days. Now. I'm pretty confident that most of Connecticut is in the four to eight range, but I do feel there's a possibility can bump back up to 6 to 12. The models are still trying to figure out exactly where the second piece of energy catches up to the first. I'm pretty happy even with 4" to 8" as we've haven't seen this in quite some time.

    I know most of it's going to wash away from Tuesday to Wednesday storm. But I do think we have some good stuff coming up later in the month. And who knows what February will bring at this point. 

    • Like 2

    January 2024 -- Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    16 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

    It was easier to handle when the whole country was warm.  Now we bask while the west has historic cold and snow as the SE ridge and NAO connect, 2024 meet 2023.  

    image.thumb.png.bad29d447e4ff66253c6aa8f5094cb1e.png

    Okay, maybe for the short term, but that cold has to go somewhere. It will be heading east. Then again, I know who I'm talking to.... 

    • Like 2

    Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

    in New England

    Posted

    16 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

    Look at NNE, that's no good....also some of that qpf added there is not associated with the storm so it's worse than it looks

    gfs_apcpn_neus_16.png

    TT .... But this never really was a storm for northern New England from the beginning. Only in the last several days did it show some model runs where it pushed into southern parts of northern New England. Hopefully you guys will get into some of this ( although, you're not even in northern New England lol )

    • Like 1
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