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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. It is comically stubborn. I love that it initializes 3-5F warmer than the 18Z run at hour 0 and then INSTANTLY jumps to its old forecast at hour 1. "Nah, I was definitely right before"
  2. If the code that accumulates snow is inside the model and driven by physics, then why are snow accumulations so wildly different on different websites? Presumably they all use the exact same data from the model.
  3. IDK man. The best thing about the 18Z suite so far is that the UKIE held from 12Z.
  4. We are at nearly optimal range for a completely unrealistic NAM'ing tho
  5. 3 flakes and a single sleet pellet, final offer!
  6. No EURO or EPS for most recent data obv, but tonight looks like a hell of a reversal so far.
  7. Yeah, big fold. R/S line moved like 50 miles Southeast
  8. GFS at Hr87 HP to the north noticeably stronger than 18Z
  9. GFS also moves away from the LP transfer idea. Looks pretty different from the last several runs IMO.
  10. I see the 12Z EURO has pushed some of us right past denial and fear...
  11. Still fully expecting a dead cat bounce tomorrow or Thursday and a NAM'ing some time on Friday.
  12. Brutal. DCA gets a dusting and Leesburg gets a foot.
  13. I for one am hoping to see the UKIE/CMC get back in the game today. They were both crap yesterday. Slightly less interested in the waffling of GFS/EURO.
  14. GEPS is basically a hold serve on the clown maps.
  15. GEFS very boom or bust, I'll take P23 with a side of P28
  16. ICON is good, especially for SE of 95. LP is Miller A-esque (don't hate me).
  17. I know you know this, but the 20 mile wide gradient between 2" and 10" makes these storms rough even at close range.
  18. GEFS looks a smidge warmer than 12Z, but precip field has a really nice characteristic shape. For some reason my media size limit is like 8 pixels...
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