jaydreb
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Everything posted by jaydreb
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From looking at the latest GEFS and EPS, I think the bigger risk at this point is that the trough doesn’t dig enough and this slides off to the south and we just get a glancing hit (or none at all).
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This looks fun.
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GFS had it at 18z. CMC had it at 0z. Good signs.
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I’ll let you and Yoda handle it.
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Light snow into DC at 150 with heavier stuff on the doorstep.
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Euro has something brewing at 144.
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Some nice hits for the CMC storm showing up on GEFS as well.
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CMC doing what GFS did at 18z?
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Well, here’s the GFS’s chance to go 3 for 3.
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Yes please! DC pummeled.
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Looks familiar.
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Still a small signal around 1/22-23.
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Some nice hits on the 0z GEFS around 1/22.
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EPS (10:1 ratio)
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Don’t know about the accuracy of the model (probably none) but CFS is darn cold for the next month and more.
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This what you’re looking for?
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I take and run.
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FWIW, GEFS finally catching on and shifting west again. Still east of op but west of 12z.
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You may end up right, but the current guidance (GFS and Euro) show a pretty significant event in the Shenandoah Valley.
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Lol. Dumpster fire.
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Pretty good mood in this thread all things considered. Getting 10” of snow last week probably helps things for many of us.
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Verbatim it’s probably 2-4/3-6” in DC metro before changeover.
