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Sundog

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Everything posted by Sundog

  1. Sundog
    Excellent post Don. I've been saying for years that a model's usefulness goes far behind it's 500mb hemispheric score.
  2. Sundog
    I read a study not too long ago that showed low clouds (I think it was low) were becoming less numerous because of warming. The warmer air/sea surface temps disrupt low cloud formation, leading to even more warming, leading to even more disruption, etc.
  3. Sundog
    The oceans will continue to absorb C02, just because they got a little warmer doesn't mean they have reached the degassing point. They just won't absorb CO2 (or any gas) as well as they did when they were colder. That creates a positive feedback loop for global warming unfortunately. But they will continue to absorb gases, just not at the same rate.
  4. Sundog
    The EURO AI has been bringing rain from the coastal low for many runs now and now the GFS brings some rain up here this way as well. But the regular Euro refuses to budge and is basically dry.
  5. Sundog
    Sunday looks a bit tricky, Euro is the warmest while other models have mnore onshore flow like buewave said might happen.
  6. Sundog
    For yesterday the EPS run from your posted map had the coastal lingering, that's why temps were probably too low.
  7. Sundog
    Are the overall anomalies being affected by higher low temps? I don't see any temps higher than upper 70s on the EPS.
  8. Sundog
    "Warmest winter on record" really looked like it was going to happen until that record PNA ridge unleashed the Arctic.
  9. Sundog
    Crazy, I got to 54 degrees in Queens, only 3 degrees warmer than you
  10. Sundog
    Yea I remember rainshadow, though I never knew his name. I thought you were maybe talking about Tony Riggi and you made a typo, it's like one letter difference lol Antonio Riggi helped me out like 14 years ago with creating long length radar loops of past storms using archived radar data. He's at Weatherbell now.
  11. Sundog
    Wait are you talking about Antonio Riggi or is Tony Gigi someone else?
  12. Sundog
    These last three weeks must have been miserable for you
  13. Sundog
    I remember that cold blast. I was supposed to fly to Greece on the 2nd but there was engine trouble on my plane and I had to leave the next day instead. Because of that I was able to catch that intense CAA and experience lows in the mid 50s the next morning when I would have otherwise missed them.
  14. Sundog
    Perfect timing, hopefully with the clouds gone we can cool down nicely tonight.
  15. Sundog
    If we're talking about Central Park, then maybe. They struggle to hit 90 in July let alone mid to late September.
  16. Sundog
    What percentage of total stations in Upton made it to 90? Or at least within 50 miles of NYC? I ask because I don't know where most of those stations are and if they are in a tight geographic area it might not represent that much of the region. I also don't count stations that are too far away, for example I don't care if Philly gets to 90, they're 100 miles away.
  17. Sundog
    You two aren't really far apart in this conversation. 90 degrees was only achieved at two stations, one of them well to our SW and out of our CWA. All others were mid to upper 80s. But it also doesn't take that much more to go from 88 to 90 in some hot spots.
  18. Sundog
    The models or long term predictions saying September would open up very dry were a bust (thank goodness.) This is the first 7 days of the month:
  19. Sundog
    I think that developing batch in PA will clip is as it moves NE.
  20. Sundog
    Did no model have the extensive rain we are currently seeing? Some were better than others but nothing really had this blossoming on radar. Most models had the real rain tomorrow morning.
  21. Sundog
    The radar flared up and slowly lifting north like a coastal storm. Looks nice.
  22. Sundog
    Looks like the rain really blossomed for you on radar in the last hour
  23. Sundog
    It's hilarious how all that stuff that formed in eastern PA looks to skirt just north of the city yet again.
  24. Sundog
    Trash line for the city. Dud.
  25. Sundog
    I meant it more when the dryness begins in August and goes through the foliage season. Last year I went to that area on October 20th. When I went into the Fort Montgomery Museum and asked about the color, they said the drought ruined their foliage.
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