JakkelWx
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Everything posted by JakkelWx
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lol this snow is taking forever to get over here. Only a couple flurries so far.
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Radar is really blowing up in E KY and E TN. This storm is tapping some excellent juice from the Gulf of Mexico
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18z 12k much closer to reality.
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NAM doing NAM things vol. 2
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Nothing here across the bay yet. Temps hovering right around 32-33.
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With this snow falling this early already, I wouldn't be surprised if 18z runs show a rather decent uptick in QPF totals.
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1.5 deg tilt DBZ's are sneaking across the bay. Expecting flurries soon.
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We're in a good spot. Roughly 0.5 - 0.6'' of QPF to my yard with over an inch just to my south. One more shift north and I'm in the really good goods.
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Just need Mt. Holly to cooperate.. lol
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till april ftw
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FV3 run of the year. Easily.
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Eastern MD near CAPE.. in Goldsboro
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I have returned from grotto's pizza. Looks like 12z models look just a little better than 06z. Based on short-term models and trends, NWS Mt Holly could use a little constructive criticism for hedging a little low on snow totals, at least for the central (where I am) and the southern areas. Northern areas could use a little tweaking with the snow maps as well.
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My clouds now are even cloudier than the clouds from an hour ago, which were cloudier than the ones from the hour before. It's almost game time. Currently a temperature of 34 with a DP of only 14. Once onset occurs, temps will drop and dewpoints will rise here
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DC is squarely in the 0.5'' QPF, unlike 06z. Precip across all of the area is an improvement from both 00z and 06z, respectively.
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12 GFS seems less strung out than 06z by a little. Meanwhile there are some good radar returns in SWVA moving NE.
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My clouds are starting to get cloudier
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That's 06z
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From @Isotherm on 33andrain... Good write up explaining the Z500 vort, low path trends and QPF.
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Onto current OBS... Radar returns are just now reaching Chicago with a side of radar hallucinations.
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Keeping the OBS and storm mode threads clean... Here it is. Weenie NAM run of the year.
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NAM doing NAM things.
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lol the NAM radar is juiced
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LOL the SREF mean is at 10 inches at DCA.
