Nice returns coming from the SW and the r/s line is slowly creeping north. Doubt it will get this far but it's a sign that the really heavy bands can shift north and shellack a lot of the subforum, as well as backbuilding.
FV3 showing that BECS run again:
06z GEFS. There is an increasing signal for a potentially significant snowstorm for around the 20th. MJO no longer wants to go to and stay in phase 5... it is very close to COD and a low amplitude then we go right back into the favorable MJO phases. The SSW damage has already been done and the PV is displaced south. Fun times ahead.