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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. Not good seeing the models are still looking like this and we're only 120 hours out. I'm starting to get worried about this
  2. We have something potential showing up on the LR GEFS ensembles
  3. 50/50 low, confluence and a 1030s high and it's still rain somehow. I call BS
  4. That is so close to snow here. A one degree tick colder for the Monday system and that means getting an inch or two of wet paste or all rain.
  5. I'm gonna need a serious shovel for the late week system this'll do Hopefully being a debbie downer on purpose will cause the models to continue trending snowier until i'm under a foot 72 hours out
  6. The cold rain on top of the mild rain will make it harder to shovel
  7. That's a huge jump. Has me in the 10% for seeing a foot of snow or greater. Probably doesn't mean much, but it's a start
  8. thank god you're not being serious
  9. The 12z CMC run is the most realistic run for this storm imo
  10. Deep Thunder = biggest weenie model there ever was
  11. @DTWXRISK The 18z GFS seems pretty progressive. Do you think the crappy STJ handling in this model plays a role?
  12. lol on the border of all rain and starting as ice.
  13. Nobody sees that 50/50 low? That's a crazy 50/50 there.. 958 mb of goodness
  14. Yeah I expect the snowfall mean here to go up based on these trends
  15. Yeah jebwalking in sideways heavy rain 20 miles south of the rain/snow line sounds like a great jebwalk Snowfall out to 174 on the 12z EPS.
  16. The 12z EPS is still rain here at 138 then at 141 things turn rapidly into a heavy snow. By 144 the precip is exiting. The final grand total is 1 inch of snow
  17. Don't start the thread for the December 20th HECS until the Dec 16th/17th storm is over
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