imo neither of the options that bring snow to the city proper and lakefront are realistic or likely given model trends
-ggem style south and weaker solution that keeps slp well south of the southern lake tip
-perfectly located banger defo with tssn overcoming surface temps
turns out we don't all live together
if u live on the lakefront or south of 80, u r near missing a dog (shame, sad)
if u live in the w, nw burbs or wi, u are going to get a rare and epic crush job (great)
my miss south (and lake assist) and stebo's wish cast are dead, the freak cutter is happening
but you're underestimating temps, antecedent is bad and mid levels look warm. any areas of SN/+SN will be splotchy and we'll be flipping to rain for periods of weaker forcing. I'm hoping we can hold onto a period of high end conditions or tssn with the bombing low but this looks like a palm guy storm for accums
+SN for a while here at the office, started sticking to paved surfaces about 15 mins ago and stacking well now, n burbs that stay snow gonna do well with this, looks like white rain on cam back home