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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. A-L-E-K
    ensemble mean temps already pushing 10+ in the fantasy range, p loud
  2. A-L-E-K
    mid range looks p med, euro/eps still bring the morch in fantasy range
  3. A-L-E-K
    bit too early imby, hoping for an active year tho
  4. A-L-E-K
    well said malacka11
  5. A-L-E-K
    ensembles looking p wall to wall warm with one brief post low cool shot p hefty anomalies showing up in ensemble means in the long range
  6. A-L-E-K
    winter over?
  7. A-L-E-K
    Blessings finally coming our way?
  8. A-L-E-K
    euro with our first spring severe threat?
  9. A-L-E-K
    glad we never settled into another dusty deep freeze and looks like the active (not nec snowy) pattern will pick up soon enough
  10. A-L-E-K
    Gfs trying to flip active and wet in fantasy range, I want to believe obv
  11. A-L-E-K
    guessing i'm done with single digits but wouldn't bet on it obv
  12. A-L-E-K
    zzzzzz
  13. A-L-E-K
    did we even have an 80 degree dew at ord last summer?
  14. A-L-E-K
    ensembles look bad for those pining for early spring maybe it's good to get the cold out of the way now, idk p sick of the nw flow era tbh
  15. A-L-E-K
    it's bad folks
  16. A-L-E-K
    so sick of this
  17. A-L-E-K
    i had a dog a few years back
  18. A-L-E-K
    lol not our year
  19. A-L-E-K
    At least the miller b is dead
  20. A-L-E-K
    the tail doesn't wag the dog, it's all downstream of the ugly h5 look
  21. A-L-E-K
    yup, convection robbing moisture is a weenie talking point. ugly trough, ugly look at 85o = trashy nw side H5 look got close for a second there but backed away and then trended progressively worse...was never gonna get it done
  22. A-L-E-K
    Best part of event now
  23. A-L-E-K
    call looking decent, waa feels good for 2-3 and should manage to find another 1 or 2 somewhere shame about the swing and a miss on another potential event in what has been a rough winter for major synoptic snow storms in the region, when it's not your year, it's not your year
  24. A-L-E-K
    fwiw i'm hedging on the stronger/nw solutions based on the consistent slower/sharper trend with the trough and resulting lee cyclogenesis, surface features vary widely from model to model and run to run but this upper level trend is p consistent running out of time for changes but we're right at the point where small shifts will result in large changes to the cold sector qpf fields
  25. A-L-E-K
    i remember when joe called the mega derecho the night before i'll never forget it
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