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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. A-L-E-K
    Given the obvious caveat that phased setups are hard, I think we're making real progress with the wave digging/troughing on the west coast by D3/4 with a few models starting to get that look. If that's a real trend and we avoid cutoff hell, I think chances for an event in the sub go way up. Another minor positive that really only matters if a storm happens but there is actual cold air available for this one if it wraps up.
  2. A-L-E-K
    lol
  3. A-L-E-K
    get it
  4. A-L-E-K
    rainer
  5. A-L-E-K
    ban
  6. A-L-E-K
    Everyone needs to do a quick frankenmuth GIS
  7. A-L-E-K
    Hard disagree
  8. A-L-E-K
    Classic hoosier
  9. A-L-E-K
    might be the worst post in this thread^
  10. A-L-E-K
    event of the winter incoming
  11. A-L-E-K
    rainer
  12. A-L-E-K
    gonna get worse when the trailing energy ends up another coastal bomb / detroit duster
  13. A-L-E-K
    the mid week period isn't a total loss yet and still holds potential if things in the pacific trend in our favor energy in question is still days away from the west coast and the environment out there doesn't give me much confidence
  14. A-L-E-K
  15. A-L-E-K
    whoops
  16. A-L-E-K
    big dog winter call going down in flames but 500k+ looking on track half a million, lol
  17. A-L-E-K
    chasing futility in december is so brutal because you know a period of dusters in march is going to ruin it anyways
  18. A-L-E-K
    Dry frontal passage to CAD to mild and boring...worst climo
  19. A-L-E-K
    It's still D5 before the wave is on the west coast, so obv time for improvement but a wave into WA/OR isn't gonna cut it, we need something digging further into CA otherwise I don't see how h5 heights or timing are gonna work. Given how the pacific has played out, I'd definitely ride the guidance that keeps things northern stream dominated and shear out the southern stream cutoff.
  20. A-L-E-K
    the extreme dryness over CA and into the mountain west is never a good look, they have a real problem brewing out there
  21. A-L-E-K
    I am and always will be pro prisoner escape, you make it out, you should be free to go
  22. A-L-E-K
    Bad and getting worse
  23. A-L-E-K
    Solid DAB
  24. A-L-E-K
    DBQ hot streak on the euro, ride it
  25. A-L-E-K
    if it makes you feel better, we're getting some solid model agreement on CAD in the long range!
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