Joshb32689

Quite the assortment of hazards across the country.

Had some good sleet coming down for a bit outside of Coatesville. Lighter precip moving in, mixed back to rain. 39° F One of the wilder variations in temps and weather I’ve seen in awhile. 82 to sleet in the span of what, 36-48 hours? see if we can manage a little snow accumulation later

4” just north of Coatesville

For the trolls (Mickey) and those living & dying by each hour model runs and worried about the trend (me) - HRRR & RAP stopped the bleed of the south and east trend with ticks back NW. Wet snow mixing in for the past 20 minutes in the Coatesville area. Slightly trimmed my expectations but still looking forward to a great storm.

MQS range between HRRR and NAM is identical to our upgraded winter storm warning of 16-22”. Sounds like a solid call at the moment. Now just gotta pull the trigger on the blizzard warning - make it official. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 256 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 ...POTENTIALLY HISTORIC WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY... .A major winter storm is expected to develop today, impacting the region with very heavy, crippling snowfall and areas of blizzard conditions. Precipitation will develop today, changing to all snow this afternoon and evening. The most severe conditions and heaviest snowfall will occur tonight, with snow gradually tapering off during the daytime Monday. Record breaking snowfall totals are possible. Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery- Including the cities of Oxford, Honey Brook, West Chester, Collegeville, Pottstown, and Kennett Square 256 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 16 and 22 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

Where does one obtain the GEFS individuals? Would love to see some of those tucked solutions

This seems far from settled 0z Euro vs 6z NAM

Quite the trend from 1am - 7pm. South Jersey went from 0 to over a foot in some spots

https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/2022438348405481832 I don’t know what the GRAF is but damn

Meanwhile in Chicago they’re piling up lake effect

western Chester County: WSW went from 6-10 to 7-13

Outside of Coatesville - north of the valley. It keeps ticking up for us. The amount of flack they should take “if” they get this wrong. They’re a $3 trillion company.

Would someone be so kind as to explain what it is we are rooting for as these new models are coming in - More/less confluence? More/less spacing? Phasing? I can’t tell if I should be excited or disappointed

Bring us home Big Nacho