BhamParker

That would be some insane rates on the 00z GFS. Thundersnow?

4 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Good Lord it basically just started snow and looks like it has laid down 3 to 6 inches already in the south central mountains. 

I saw that. Crazy to think it drops that much with essentially 12 more hours or so of snow for those areas. I have been fired up about this chase, but its honestly getting a little nerve wracking now with how big it could be. I have never seen more than 7 inches in person before. I just absolutely do not want to lose power and really hope we can make it out at some point monday. 

Wow! 12z EPS charts for around highlands, cashiers, lake toxaway. 

I don’t know if I’m mentally ready for what’s coming. I’ve chased many to gatlinburg/Maggie valley, but they have all ranged from 2-6 inches mainly. This one will be memorable.

Looking forward to sharing it with my family and my first born 9 month old son. 

I'll be making the trip to Lake Toxaway North Carolina this weekend for the upcoming storm. This will be our first trip to this area and it looks beautiful. Hope to give yall some good pictures. 

2 hours ago, jrips27 said:

We are over 7” now at 2900 feet near Gatlinburg. Here was about an hour ago. I’m celebrating my 25th birthday today so had to snow chase. It’s been awesome. Enjoy everyone  

 

How much did you end up with? Enjoy reading all yalls reports! I was going to make it up to gatlinburg to chase from down here from Birmingham, but couldn’t make it. Hope the pattern allows some more good setups this month and into February.

I am living vicariously through this thread. Pulling hard for all you Tennessee folks. It’s 35 in Birmingham with a stiff and steady wind. No ground truth to the snow on radar unfortunately as of yet. 
 

I sure would  love to be in a cabin tonight with some elevation. Y’all have a Merry Christmas and reel this one in! I’ll be back for another storm before winter is finished.

We just got back to Birmingham! It was a little sketchy getting out of the driveway but all the roads in and around ski mountain road were just slushy. The highest measurement I got was 4 inches on the porch. It was a beautiful snow and a lot more fell than actually accumulated. It took awhile to get going and it snowed lightly all night last night. I bet if it were later in the season it would have been more.

It also was coming down great as we were leaving all the way past pigeon forge and close to Knoxville. Wouldn’t be surprised if the cabin picked up a little more after we left. We will be back again soon!

GFS, RGEM, and NAM all say more NW flow snow tonight until daybreak. The HRRR is not currently matching up with what’s on radar.

Just now, PowellVolz said:

I think we are now getting into the NW flow. Snow is falling pretty good at my house but the radar over me is meh. Snow also looks like that high ratio kind that’s small in size but pouring down.


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Thats exactly the type flakes we are getting here right now. Reminds me of the flakes I saw fall for the Christmas 2010 storm on Christmas night and then I woke up to like 4 more inches of snow. Maybe it'll roll for awhile and tack on some more. 

22 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

NW flow is backed all the way to Indy. It may dry up but I don’t think it’s over just yet.


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Rates are picking back up here, maybe its not over here. Latest HRRR still shows plenty of NW flow support. 

Returns are really starting to decrease at the moment. Probably have 3-4 inches right now. The wind has blown a lot of it around.

1 minute ago, Stovepipe said:

You may need chains to safely get down from that mountain!

I sure hope we can make it down tomorrow. We are set to check out tomorrow and have to be out by 11. I know in the past they've typically plowed/salted/taken good care of the roads around these cabins, but I am definitely a little concerned about it. Hopefully all will be okay in the morning. I have a tacoma truck, but do not own chains. 

Y’all the yellow returns just keep coming snd the wind is howling! You can’t even see the lights of downtown gatlinburg. I know the weather channel app is crap, but they’ve even upped it to 5-8 inches tonight. 
 

If these heavy returns continue then I think those amounts may be possible 

It’s going crazy here y’all 

Down right heavy snow right now!

Things are changing around here really quick. Going to be an exciting night! 

I feel like each HRRR run just keeps getting better and better.

From MRX afternoon disco

From MRX afternoon disco...

The higher elevations of the Appalachians will see the highest totals
with 4-8 inches across the winter storm warning. The HREF along
with other guidance continues to paint 6-12 inches across the
highest peaks, above 5000 feet. Precipitation will quickly end
from west to east overnight and by 12Z Tuesday expect only the
higher elevations to see remaining snow.

If I see 6+ then I will probably faint.

I have a feeling when that sun goes down and that heavy band after dark gets going that it’s gonna stack up quick with temps in the mid to low 20s. 

Trees are getting white in a hurry, this place will look like a winter wonderland in the morning 

18z 3K NAM looked amazing for the mountains. Shows some pretty heavy stuff for 8-10 hours. It has really gotten cold with the snow falling!

Its ripping pretty good up here now. If this can continue I would expect some accumulating to start soon. 

Ran down to town to pick up a pizza and more firewood. As we were leaving it was snowing at a decent clip at the cabin, once we got down to around 1500 feet it stopped and was more of a drizzle/ice pellets. We are back up at the cabin now and we've got light snow and ice pellets. This is the best rate its come down since that 11 AM heavy snow shower. Getting closer and closer to go time.