purduewx80

@Hoosier I have to question why the mods keep allowing people to make such blatantly political posts.

yeah, looks like that AM HRRR run was about 50 miles and 10-15KT off. As of the 10PM obs: DKB: 1.64" MDW: 0.77" ORD: 0.40"

for now I'm more enthused about the potential for excessive rain in the metro. nice signal for a prolonged low level jet focus in the area this evening...including the 12Z NAM (below) and 09/12Z RPM.

Stranger things have happened. The MCV that developed over Lake Erie a few days ago also had a surface circulation and winds near these levels. The MCV already has a surface low co-located with it, and there are 30-35KT gusts N and E of it down in KS this morning. If it is able to maintain some convection near its center, then something along those lines is possible this evening. Similar to the Brown Ocean Effect sometimes allowing tropical systems to intensify over land when you have sufficient heat and moisture flux from the ground.

This pandemic is revealing how poorly educated average Americans are in science. There’s a HUGE difference between gases and droplets containing viruses, but keep believing your conspiracy theories and see where that gets ya.

Science and technology will help us win in the end, so I'm not sure I'd say never. I'm definitely not convinced the old American Way will be part of our future, though.

another big ol' check in the bad news column. re-infections have occurred within a few months for some people and are often worse the 2nd time around. rosy visions of herd immunity and vaccines knocking this out should be put on hold until larger-sample-sized studies can be done.

MCV + 2" PWATs....gonna be some flood threat too. Also...this is unreal for July. Phenomenal jet dynamics in play.

this explains a lot about your position on the virus and economy.

This RAP fcst sounding from the southern tip of Lake Michigan at 12Z tomorrow morning is nothing short of impressive. That's lake-induced CAPE...suspect there will be some waterspouts out there in the morning. Can't rule out a thunderstorm making it into parts of Chicago and NW Indiana as the surge of cooler air moves in. 00Z HRRR valid at 12Z:

upper low moving in will support destabilization. projecting out cells in NE IA now...they would be here closer to 11-12, but there could be some development out ahead of it. Cu growth has occurred so you can see the signs of instability building behind the AM activity.

Any of you on twitter should follow Philippe - he posts some great weather weenie material.

Could be an enhanced wind threat in western parts of the area later this afternoon and evening. That potent upper low in the Dakotas will drag the EML into IA, MO and IL and likely result in a bowing line or two later on.

Check out the lake-enhanced instability off LE and LM this morning. Pretty wild for July. Might get what CLE is getting now in Chicago tomorrow morning as the next upper low passes by to the south.

Hope so. Tourists are back at Willis Tower today. Fortunately, everyone I saw in line was wearing a mask properly.

IL ramping back up now, too. Numbers from these states that opened early should've been the first clue that this would happen. https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/coronavirus/illinois-reports-highest-daily-number-of-coronavirus-cases-in-more-than-a-month/2303179/

Nice...definitely getting into ring of fire, possible derecho, season with that potent e-w ridge over the CONUS. Just looking at the overall pattern, you're going to have some faster mid-level flow with how strong the ridge is and any energy that runs over the top.

boundarypalooza out there ahead of our mcv. pretty good evidence the lake breeze will kick some off this afternoon before the main show later in the day, too.

Similar to what happened in NYC, at-home deaths are seeing a spike in TX. Hard to know how much of this is people afraid to go to the ER/doc vs. true COVID-19 deaths, but it's still alarming.

00z Euro shows widespread triple-digit heat later next week throughout the sub-forum.

More new details about the potential long-term effects are super concerning for those of us who've had the virus already.

that is a beautiful signature

Nice cold pool with the WI activity, should roll into Chicagoland about the time it starts to weaken.

Looks to be a little bit higher threat for a few thunderstorms in the region this afternoon, with the lake breeze slowly moving inland and a weak disturbance now in NW IA/SW MN. Storm motions will be <10KT so the few who get rain may get a good/brief soaking.