Sw NC weather

I’m at 32.3 in Northern Macon. I’ll skyrocket up before precip moves in. I only get ice once every 7-8 years with a real strong wedge. Good luck to the rest and be careful out.

Lots of details to iron out, but if the low was about 50-100 miles further south we would be hammered with the deform band. Realistically that’s probably my only chance at seeing much from this system.

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Track is much better but just not cold enough for most. 

A track like what the GFS showing in early January. We should be digging out! Oh well, I still think there’s a chance for the higher elevation people from Haywood north.

GFS and Icon both shifted north some at 18z. Maybe this system has some legs. No need to get to invested until 12z tomorrow.

I know it’s the Nam at range, but it’s something to look at.

First car topper of the year in Northern Macon County. Flurries still flying.

GFS is consist on a ULL swinging through the area on Friday and bringing a stout upslope snow. Hopefully it’s on to something, other models have hinted at it as well.

Models are starting to show the first real threat window  is gonna be Dec 30th - Jan 2nd. Euro had a solid 4-6” event for us on the 1st at 0z.

2 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I believe you are right..moisture looks much more healthier now.  Maybe a quick inch or two.

Just had to run out and actually quite a few flakes mixing in here down to 39 now. Around 2400’ elevation.

Moisture coming thru north GA is looking promising. Starting to think I may see a few flakes. Y’all from Haywood North above 3000’ wouldn’t be surprised to see a inch or two. 

Just had a rain shower push through. Maybe it’s my imagination but I would’ve swore there was a few snowflakes mixed in. Sitting at 39 and slowly dropping. Here’s to hoping for a car topper in the morning and good luck to you higher elevation people.

3 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

December is looking above average. All the cold is absent in Canada in the 10-14 day range. I'm starting to think it's going to be another ho hum above average winter with very few snow chances outside the border areas. 

Typical strong El nino is warm December transition in January and a cold February. Not saying that’ll be the case but nothing to get worked up about at this point. On a side note I’m happy with the December look and think it may hold a surprise due to a -NAO developing.

Received some much needed rain this morning. Don’t know exact amount since my gauge is down at the moment but I’d bet a good 1/4” fell last night and this morning.

Some big storms rolling through this evening with a temp of 63. Reminds me of how much I’m ready for fall.

31 minutes ago, Rainforrest said:

I hope we get some good rain out of this. I know it doesn’t happen often but the southern escarpment needs it. 

Models are shifting the tropical storm to far south for us to get much benefit, but Monday and Tuesday look quite wet around here so hopefully we can score some rain that way.

3 hours ago, Met1985 said:

So far this heat wave has been pathetic.  Today had a high of 78. For the middle of August this is comfortable. 

A little hotter down this way, topped out at 85. Still not the forecasted 90.

Storms are really starting to fire in E. Tennessee. Looks like we’re in for a loud night.

We got a big storm in northern Macon county about a hour ago lots of wind and quarter size hail. Looks like the main line is about to move thru. Hopefully it’s not as strong.

Wouldn’t be surprised to see some flood advisory or warning start popping up in the mountains. It’s been a constant moderate to heavy rain since about 10:30 A.M. With more on the way.

Light to moderate rain falling again this morning. So much for the so called heat wave last week. Forecast had multiple days in the low 90’s, and only managed 86 Saturday and yesterday.

35 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

That MCS back in TN looks mean. Curious to see how it holds up over the next few hours. Could bring some big storms in this afternoon.

According to the last few Hrrr runs it holds up fairly good. Should be heavy downpours for most and some embedded storms. Also shows another round moving thru in the early morning hours.

Already 0.32” in Northern Macon County. Looks like late this evening into tonight could be loud.

31 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

We've had 3 storms roll through here the last hour. A lot of heavy rainfall. 

Same down this way, lots of wind and some pea size hail involved as well.

Bottomed out at 18 this morning

Latest Hrrr looks to get the deform band solidly into the mnts tomorrow morning, hopefully some of y’all with elevation can cash in.