midatlanticweather

I have picked up a total of 0.02" in the last 7 days in Purcellville, VA. Need rain!

9 hours ago, Terpeast said:

@psuhoffman yes, that makes a lot of sense. Warmer ssts with more moisture makes it easier for waves to amplify earlier and faster as they eject from the rockies. 

Hopefully flipping to a nino will help cool those gulf temps down. 

But that may take a while. Ninos tend to suppress hurricane activity, so the gulf may get even hotter before it cools down. 

I was thinking this exact thing this year! The bathwater of the Atlantic and Gulf can be great for juicy storms, but also make us too warm when it comes to winters. I know he could find snow in a Thunderstorm in the middle of summer if he tried hard enough, but Joe Bastardi often linked increased hurricane activity to better east coast winter storms. I have no idea if there is a correlation, but I was thinking this last year we needed something to cool it down! Add the unfrozen Great Lakes, and it just did not help at all. 

Interesting 

That storm south of Fredericksburg has my attention!

Wow, checked and I managed 29.5 degrees for a low this morning. 

As far as gusts. I know that we managed at least 20 mph more than what I was able to get on my weather station. The weather station measured a 53mph sustained wind before the power went out and 5 telephone poles were toppled about a half mile from me. That was one of the better wind events since the one back in 2018. 

Now that is impressive for my lame weather station. 53 mph! Gusts are higher here in Purcellville 

Latest scan, after the radar shadow, still looks like a good couplet. 

Just now, high risk said:

confirmed TOR on that Delaware cell

Just coming to say the same!

And- We got a warning!

That storm has the look!

I doubt that!

5 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Oh god this again. I wasted an hour of my life years ago proving that the results from one season had no statistically significant impact on the chances of snow the next winter.  And it resulted in a bunch of “but that doesn’t feel right” replies.  I gave up on that. Math is hard. 

Not for GPT4

16 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Amazing how the W trough just keeps pinwheeling out there. Tahoe is going to get buried alive. 

I decided to start following some of the snow plow people on YouTube and can finally understand too much snow. It is a foreign concept to me until I see what these guys are doing every day! Incredible 

2 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Here is 6z vs 00z, note the faster energy out west. This trend was similar across other guidance as well…Good news is we’re still far enough out to see changes.

Probably not favorable though! Still too progressive and the Pacific just never wants to cooporate.

Nice snow. Little whitening of mulch. The flakes have some great structure so they look really cool. 34 degrees I. Purcellville 

I threw in the towel! The larger swollen lady has sung, the fork tested winter, and it is done. I will not trust Lucy again this season. Looks like a cool couple of weeks, but snow chances are likely done! 

LOL! Painful ICON

90% rain, 7% slushy rain, 3% mangled flakes in Purcellville 

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Can we please agree on one thing? Maybe?

No.

Storm.

Thread.

 

Reverse the curse.

Oh, come on.. We are not unscientific here! Lol. I am saying this because I went all Leroy Jenkins on the super bowl slop. But, for real, I think a good thread helps cut down noise. I just went way too early on that thread 

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

It was always going to be too warm for snow on March 14 said no model ever last week

It just is there to screw our region! LOL!

Nothingburger

Wow! Changes galore! And always for the worse! Once it starts in the wrong direction, it tends to continue! I Swear, Lucy and her football keep tricking me and others!