SnowGolfBro

Less developed countries are not going to be able to under report deaths from the virus. So while there is likely more cases than reported they are likely milder than seen in cold and flu prone areas. This by no means meant to say it’s right. I’m just making a prediction based on how i understand this stuff. Which is about as good as i can predict the weather lol

Look at the US. Warm places are seeing few infections and hardly any deaths. Look at our hotspots. Seattle area. New York. Look at Florida, Arizona, Texas, they have relatively few cases and deaths close to zero. Let’s come back to this post in a few weeks. And if I’m wrong i will readily admit it.

I hoping in 9-10 months we can all make this post because a slow moving coastal is savaging our area with 2+ inch an hour rates for 48 hours. It’s still a weather board so i can dream lol

Everything you say makes sense. But 80% of people that get Corona have mild symptoms. Viruses are going to spread because that is what they do. But they also don’t do well in hotter areas. I did a crude analysis of the “sick map” from Johns Hopkins and with few exceptions warmer to hot areas have few infections and even fewer deaths. If we can get through the next 30-60 days in the US i truly believe the disaster predictions will be avoided. My sister works at a hospital in San Jose. They are tossing people out with no symptoms or mild symptoms. They don’t need hospital treatment, they need to turn off the news, treat their symptoms with advice from a primary care doctor and calm down.

This is an observation based on the statistics as they stand to date. I am hearing two conflicting statements that no one seems to be piecing together. I see the fatality rate listed somewhere between 1 and 2 percent. But i also hear a lot of people saying there are far more undiagnosed cases than the numbers reflect. So assuming all deaths related to the virus are reported (which seems reasonable) but a large number of cases go undiagnosed (due to mild symptoms, no symptoms or are simply resting and recovering as if they had any other cold or virus) then I’d estimate that the death rate is closer to that of the common flu (one tenth of one percent). I don’t see how this logical conclusion is not being trumpeted by everyone. Taking the craziest prediction i have heard of 150 million Americans getting the Wuhan Red Death. Then that would equal 150,000 deaths. Just an opinion, but it doesn’t hurt to have perspective in difficult times.

I’m there Thursday night to Sunday. I was there for a week after Christmas. A couple of the days it was like 60 degrees. I did see some grappel one night lol. So I’m hoping for 6-12 out of this storm and I’ll be sound as a poynd

Looks like a good weekend to be in Canaan. Which just happens to be my plan. Wouldn’t mind a WSW event to materialize while I’m there! Sure beats praying for a miracle to see a sloppy inch in Montclair lol

If the trend is our friend, the next jump south would have us worried about too much of a good thing lol.

We had 70 degree weather in January 2016....and then something happened a couple weeks later. And it was awesome.

8 inches

SN in Montclair. Amazing

Moderate snow in Montclair. Streets were clear for hours in light precip. Everything covered now and good rates

Fatties in Montclair and ripping

Still snowing in Montclair.nice wave just to my W/SW heading this way. 29 degrees

Close to 6 inches in Montclair and currently SN

-SN

Light flurries in Montclair. It’s go time!

Pummels PWC. And one more North shift and some of our MD friends get in the mix

Looks better around DC but Baltimore not as much

6z was back when we were excited for 4-6 inches. The NAM was almost like a test by the mods to flush out the weenies. It worked on me lol!

Otherwise he nailed it lol

Looks like some of those CIPS analogs that PSU tossed out a few days ago lol

It’s a great neighborhood. We moved here in 2016 in the summer so we really haven’t had decent snowstorm since we’ve been here. Some smallish events but nothing Warming level. Looking forward into it!

Woof. Ready to do this! 27/21

And not to leave anything to chance I’m having my sister visit from Richmond this weekend. She had like a foot in December. Add that to frigidization and we are going to get shellacked