SnowGolfBro

I hoping in 9-10 months we can all make this post because a slow moving coastal is savaging our area with 2+ inch an hour rates for 48 hours. It’s still a weather board so i can dream lol

Everything you say makes sense. But 80% of people that get Corona have mild symptoms. Viruses are going to spread because that is what they do. But they also don’t do well in hotter areas. I did a crude analysis of the “sick map” from Johns Hopkins and with few exceptions warmer to hot areas have few infections and even fewer deaths. If we can get through the next 30-60 days in the US i truly believe the disaster predictions will be avoided. My sister works at a hospital in San Jose. They are tossing people out with no symptoms or mild symptoms. They don’t need hospital treatment, they need to turn off the news, treat their symptoms with advice from a primary care doctor and calm down.

This is an observation based on the statistics as they stand to date. I am hearing two conflicting statements that no one seems to be piecing together. I see the fatality rate listed somewhere between 1 and 2 percent. But i also hear a lot of people saying there are far more undiagnosed cases than the numbers reflect. So assuming all deaths related to the virus are reported (which seems reasonable) but a large number of cases go undiagnosed (due to mild symptoms, no symptoms or are simply resting and recovering as if they had any other cold or virus) then I’d estimate that the death rate is closer to that of the common flu (one tenth of one percent). I don’t see how this logical conclusion is not being trumpeted by everyone. Taking the craziest prediction i have heard of 150 million Americans getting the Wuhan Red Death. Then that would equal 150,000 deaths. Just an opinion, but it doesn’t hurt to have perspective in difficult times.

I’m there Thursday night to Sunday. I was there for a week after Christmas. A couple of the days it was like 60 degrees. I did see some grappel one night lol. So I’m hoping for 6-12 out of this storm and I’ll be sound as a poynd

Looks like a good weekend to be in Canaan. Which just happens to be my plan. Wouldn’t mind a WSW event to materialize while I’m there! Sure beats praying for a miracle to see a sloppy inch in Montclair lol

32 in Montclair. Impressive CAD even if we flipped to ZR and plain rain early this afternoon.

Weenie rule #368. Radar returns in SW VA are a good sign.

31/13. Bring on my .25 inches of precipitation and may it all be frozen!

Now if we can just get that same look for 4-6 consecutive hours tomorrow morning we will be in business lol!

Maybe they like reading our storm threads and figure if they post an advisory it will improve morale in the thread.

Sitting at 37/12 in Montclair. If we aren’t getting to 40 i doubt anyone els in the DMV is outside of DCA (probably around 70 there lol)

Considering I’m not expecting much frozen, if any, the models today at least keep me interested up until now cast time. That 1048 High and CAD are going to keep it colder than the models are predicting IMO. If we score any action down here, the N and W crew could do real well.

Do better. Make it snow! Just kidding. The write up was excellent as always. Thank you for all of the time and effort you put into your analysis. I always look forward to reading your posts. Hopefully in the next couple weeks the we can get some write ups about why we all need to stock up on milk and toilet paper lol!

With 96 hours to go that map at least keeps us in the game. Obviously it could trend into a Quebec special, but a couple hundred miles south over 4 days amongst friends is doable.

If the Canadian is warm it might be safe to say we are screwed to use a non-technical term

GFS knows. I’m riding the GFS until the Euro beats it into submission

What feature do we need to work in our favor to soften the ridge in the Midwest and flatten the track of the low pressure? Asking for a friend.

As noted on the long range thread the Euro does tend to over amp storms at times. It will be interesting to see if the EPS plays follow the leader. Lock in the cold air depicted and weaken the low pressure just a bit and 2-6 inch snow/sleet to dry slot/drizzle is still in play.

If the trend is our friend, the next jump south would have us worried about too much of a good thing lol.

We had 70 degree weather in January 2016....and then something happened a couple weeks later. And it was awesome.

Just heard PWC schools caved for tomorrow lol.

Snow making a comeback in the Clifton area

And my client site just pulled the plug. Time for a JEB drive home.

Everything has caved in Oakton. Radar appears to be back building around Culpepper. Or I’m just a weenie lol

Cars and grass caving in Oakton. Sidewalks showing signs of waving the white flag, pun intended