BTRWx's Thanks Giving

It's slower ots

The low is 2 mb weaker but also a few miles closer to the coast at 12z.

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

If they’re gonna upgrade, they should do it before bedtime for most folks

I'm honestly still surprised by the last one. Very few areas ended with at least 5" and I would think that's no different for this unless there's another considerable last minute uptick.

16 minutes ago, Ji said:

Beating will too it. Sorry will

Is that really one of the members?

1 minute ago, AtlanticWx said:

Can you compare that to 10:1 and depth please?

1 minute ago, rjvanals said:

I am loving the D.C./Philly ratio flipping in our favor!

Is this a good trend?

Just now, stormtracker said:

I dunno.  What's everybody think?

One more run with the same trend could make this event bigger than Tuesday!

Does pbp go in this thread?

Can we steal one from Philly?

For what it's worth, my crappy off brand weather station is forecasting lightning. lol

Almost a carbon copy of yesterday

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

It updates differently, had the same thing happen to me yesterday

That one looks like it's from yesterday.

2 minutes ago, Ravens94 said:

Slowly coming up

That's odd. I'm seeing a different map for the same map time.

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB 3K NAM please be right!!!!

That's still not bad for D.C.

Impressive how similar that is to the first NBM map!

Does NBM rely too much on American guidance?

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

Encouraging tweet

https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1745617893574791311?s=46&t=C005pd5HNg3Y-KhVU7n3VA

Who is that?

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB OZ compared to 18Z EPS

Notice the heaviest precip trending southeast from the 0z run to 12z. (18z hasn't updated yet)

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

It is not as good as 0Z.. WB.

I'm interested in seeing the qpf trends.

16 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

About .2”.  

Can you do a 12z comparison please? and maybe add in the prior 6z and 0z

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z EPS, not very convincing...

Still a wide range of solutions.

3 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

18z


12z

So basically the entire sub forum is less than .1" qpf?

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

EPS is more consolidated. i would expect the ECMWF to come back NW tonight 

Does it matter that the contours shifted south?

1 minute ago, frd said:

 

 

Looks wintery

 

 

 

That's around the time when the MJO would cycle back through.