BTRWx's Thanks Giving

Pretty neat to have snowflakes falling in both games today.

Snowflakes at Lambeau

4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Lows don’t typically ride the apps

On models they do.

1 minute ago, chris21 said:

Ha! you should've seen it last year!

Same climo

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

This is pretty close to textbook.

Details please

1 minute ago, frd said:

 

 

Pretty

 

 

Long way to go for just a few inches.

1 minute ago, frd said:

 

Recovery questionable 

 @SimonLeeWx

 

Replying to

@SimonLeeWx

The GEFS 35-day shows the point of uncertainty (abrupt spread growth) in the 10 hPa evolution around Jan 25-30. Some members continue to recover the vortex toward average, while others decelerate or even go for another U reversal. I think this is a point to keep eyes on!

 

12:58 PM · Jan 16, 2021·Twitter Web App

Would SSW be below 0?

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

KY is good.  Helps grease the skids for the transfer 

Don't a lot of our good mecs in the past that have transferred energy do so over KY?

5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Eps clustering 

 

Do none of them ride the apps?

Maybe we should close this thread in favor of d3-7 and d7-10?

Could someone please clean up the number of threads we have discussing the same topic.

5 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

A good air mass out in front and great blocking. It's been a while since we had real blocking.

Ensembles will be important.

6 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Euro (top) versus GFS (next post)

 

 

The low rides the spine of the apps without a high over New England.  How is that snow?

It's tough to get any winter storm in the East with a pna about to tank like this.

8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I understand the frustration. I didn't even get a flake or a sleet pellet here in the Dec storm.

That being said, you could have posted this in banter or the Panic room. 

Why?  It's all relevant.

It's weird to have a long range thread and a future storms thread.

The trough over the Pacific Northwest is killing us!

6 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said:

Yeah it used to be on the member panels along with all the members, but now it doesn't seem to be anywhere.

Maybe because the control is meaningless.

1 hour ago, poolz1 said:

Truth, man...I try to give most the benefit of the doubt when it comes to forecasting LR but cheap shots from what is touted as a professional outfit is a telltale sign you should unfollow.

I'm curious about the story behind that in banter.

9 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

Not bad

We need the ridge over Alaska to trend east a bit, then we're in business.

1 hour ago, nj2va said:

Meh, bootleg

What's so strange is the CPC ensembles don't show any sort of -NAO deepening.

Long range guidance just doesn't seem to want to strengthen the western ridge enough for our region.

1 hour ago, frd said:

 

Teleconnections have been great for weeks on end,  and we have zero snow to prove for it .  

 

Except for the Pac

1 hour ago, Ji said:

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=snku_acc&rh=2021010618&fh=228&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=


.

Would you really be okay with that little snow for the winter?

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

ill take the para and call it a winter......

 

 

 

till jan 15

Have a map?