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CADEffect

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Everything posted by CADEffect

  1. I’m really getting concerned with Iceing issues across Upstate SC. Just curious to know if NAM is a trend or not.
  2. Winter Weather Update Hi resolution models are starting to paint a picture. Some of you won’t like it. I’m beginning to get concerned for two areas of interest for two very different types of precipitation. First, the NAM model continues to produce some higher snow totals for places like Asheville N.C. To points East-Northeast Hickory N.C. Including even Boon N.C. The up-sloping snow will get lift from the higher terrain and cause heavy snow in some spots. Elevations 3k, to 4K ft. Will have possible 40mph winds creating blizzard like conditions especially on the east side of the mountains. I’m looking at total estimates later tonight. heavy snow is also possible for places like central north Georgia. The precipitation may be delayed thanks to the cold air damming of dry air. Second, I’m growing concern for places south of Interstate 85 across the upstate S.C. and parts of northeast Georgia. A possible ICE storm as far across the state to Sumter and Florence S.C. is even in play. However, rain will often mix with the ice to limit the ice accumulation (as it looks now). That may change if the NAM trends cooler.
  3. Chris justice giving totals three days out
  4. http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=10865
  5. Really miss ol John in the weather center.
  6. e16 everyone is happy...:)
  7. I find it hard to believe on FV3 the HP is in a perfect spot for All the CAD areas to score here. What am I missing?
  8. Grit I assume that’s what everyone calls you. I’m a seasonal reader and poster. Just also noticed with your post the 850 hasn’t changed compared to the last run FV3. I would like to see that trend further south at least toward Columbia S.C. I’m in the upstate S.C area.
  9. I really need to read up more on plumes and their accuracy. The GEFS plumes paints about a 5in snow storm around KGSP. I still need to do research, but ensembles and plumes are painting a different story then the operation models are suggesting. I am assuming that is why it’s important not to just go by the GFS or the EURO or any OP model alone, but use its members and ensembles.
  10. 850mb moving in faster for the upstate S.C. area. Let’s see if it can hold on and continue to push southward.
  11. Are you just now getting to this ball game?take a look at the FV3 and Euro yesterday.
  12. It just seems to me the Euro has been on an island of its own. With historical numbers yesterday to nothing at all. You got to think the OP isn’t really got a grip on the HP yet as well as the wave.
  13. I'm a little concerned of the HP only at around 1021.
  14. I know this is not where I post this question. However, Does anyone know how I can gain access to AmericanWX models page or pay services?
  15. Anybody know what time the weeklies come out today?
  16. Impressive to say the least. I'm eager for the 12z Euro run just to see if the cold air makes it over the mountains fast enough for the upstate SC area. Also, the system on Feb 2nd seems more amped. Then again it is more then 240hrs away. Definitely worth a watch. (Also, if map is breaking rules please delete).
  17. Indices Look Good. Check MJO looking Better. Check Something “Big” for the entire board in Feb looks good.
  18. i honestly don't understand, why we are creating threads on storms without most model consensus??? Are we running on feelings now?
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