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CADEffect

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  1. CADEffect
    Guys, perhaps you all could help me out. I’m trying to understand I’m in the upstate S.C. area. Pivotal has a crippling freezing rain event on its NAM ICE accumulation algorithm. When I checked the NAM 850 across most if not all the area it’s above freezing. I even checked the 2m temps and it was above freezing. It still had a ice storm. I didn’t bother checking the upper levels after seeing both levels above freezing. Please help me understand what am I missing?
  2. CADEffect
    I’m really getting concerned with Iceing issues across Upstate SC. Just curious to know if NAM is a trend or not.
  3. CADEffect
    Winter Weather Update Hi resolution models are starting to paint a picture. Some of you won’t like it. I’m beginning to get concerned for two areas of interest for two very different types of precipitation. First, the NAM model continues to produce some higher snow totals for places like Asheville N.C. To points East-Northeast Hickory N.C. Including even Boon N.C. The up-sloping snow will get lift from the higher terrain and cause heavy snow in some spots. Elevations 3k, to 4K ft. Will have possible 40mph winds creating blizzard like conditions especially on the east side of the mountains. I’m looking at total estimates later tonight. heavy snow is also possible for places like central north Georgia. The precipitation may be delayed thanks to the cold air damming of dry air. Second, I’m growing concern for places south of Interstate 85 across the upstate S.C. and parts of northeast Georgia. A possible ICE storm as far across the state to Sumter and Florence S.C. is even in play. However, rain will often mix with the ice to limit the ice accumulation (as it looks now). That may change if the NAM trends cooler.
  4. CADEffect
    Chris justice giving totals three days out
  5. CADEffect
    http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=10865
  6. CADEffect
    Really miss ol John in the weather center.
  7. CADEffect
    e16 everyone is happy...:)
  8. CADEffect
    I find it hard to believe on FV3 the HP is in a perfect spot for All the CAD areas to score here. What am I missing?
  9. CADEffect
    Grit I assume that’s what everyone calls you. I’m a seasonal reader and poster. Just also noticed with your post the 850 hasn’t changed compared to the last run FV3. I would like to see that trend further south at least toward Columbia S.C. I’m in the upstate S.C area.
  10. CADEffect
    I really need to read up more on plumes and their accuracy. The GEFS plumes paints about a 5in snow storm around KGSP. I still need to do research, but ensembles and plumes are painting a different story then the operation models are suggesting. I am assuming that is why it’s important not to just go by the GFS or the EURO or any OP model alone, but use its members and ensembles.
  11. CADEffect
    850mb moving in faster for the upstate S.C. area. Let’s see if it can hold on and continue to push southward.
  12. CADEffect
    Are you just now getting to this ball game?take a look at the FV3 and Euro yesterday.
  13. CADEffect
    It just seems to me the Euro has been on an island of its own. With historical numbers yesterday to nothing at all. You got to think the OP isn’t really got a grip on the HP yet as well as the wave.
  14. CADEffect
    think you guys may get some IP in the morning?
  15. CADEffect
    maybe, what did you top off high temp today?
  16. CADEffect
    i honestly don't understand, why we are creating threads on storms without most model consensus??? Are we running on feelings now?
  17. CADEffect
    I noticed that to. Almost like the Low has stopped tapping into the gulf.
  18. CADEffect
    SREF where can I find that at?
  19. CADEffect
    The temps are almost there but the precipitation?
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