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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    I’ll take a foot over that timeframe
  2. Thinksnow18
    I do think, dangerous I know, that the storm for next week will move NW in time, like every other storm has this year.
  3. Thinksnow18
    The verbiage “for at least plowable” snowfall is up from the original “shovelable” snowfall...I like the or more part frankly...winter storm watches tomorrow for that timeframe?
  4. Thinksnow18
    What is 13 Ken...
  5. Thinksnow18
    Neither is the EURO
  6. Thinksnow18
    That overrunning never hits KBUF! And the follow up looks much better in CNY...I’m starting to channel my inner Matt...
  7. Thinksnow18
    So I’d like to say I’m confident regarding the Tuesday system but I’m beginning to lose faith. Remember the Saturday night storm? A week ago it was a doozy...now it’s a 1-3” light snow. I’m beginning to see the same trend for the Tuesday storm. Models again look to be lessening the strength with each run and I’m concerned it’s a trend.
  8. Thinksnow18
    Maybe. I think the confluence will slow its progression
  9. Thinksnow18
    That was a wonky 18z run...almost looked like a 2 part storm
  10. Thinksnow18
    The longer the primary stays the more snow we get simple as that.
  11. Thinksnow18
    NWS Buffalo says there will be more powdered sugar on your Paula’s doughnut than snow accumulation Saturday night...they’re also less than thrilled with the Tuesday storm...they’re very Jekyll and Hyde in that office...
  12. Thinksnow18
    Yeah the update was kinda stolen from earlier text...it’s also from 1:07 so I’m wondering if this is it.
  13. Thinksnow18
    Those are LESS than 10 to 1.... .53 LE at KBUF and 4.8” of snow...so it’s going to be above freezing? Lmao toss
  14. Thinksnow18
    Looks low to me...I’m going to phone a friend and see what the Rochester airport thinks...
  15. Thinksnow18
    I’m just a bit shocked to see the snow hole over the Buffalo metro
  16. Thinksnow18
    That’s 3-4” an hour. That’s what it looked like in the heart of the Erie band last week. I couldn’t see across the street
  17. Thinksnow18
    I’ll take .8” of liquid that’s over a foot at 15:1, and maybe more like 20:1 with the temps you just showed
  18. Thinksnow18
    Agreed
  19. Thinksnow18
    Meh
  20. Thinksnow18
    Agreed...came back to the mean
  21. Thinksnow18
    Still 3-5” region wide. The ratios are just ridiculous right now
  22. Thinksnow18
    And weak sauce...it has the HP much farther north and east of most modeling right now. Could be right, but I’m not buying
  23. Thinksnow18
    I actually don’t buy the hole over the Niagara frontier. NE winds would have the most snow off that end of the lake not the opposite.
  24. Thinksnow18
    There was talk by the local Mets today that the “heavier “ snows would be Buffalo to Lake Ontario eastward for the Saturday night event owing I suppose to enhancement
  25. Thinksnow18
    I do think it was just one run as each member run will show up at some point. 0z Euro still looks like a flush hit
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