Hotair

1 hour ago, Floydbuster said:

Looks like the NHC is thinking this becomes another hurricane. Assuming Lisa doesn't have time to reach Category 3, that would put us at 15/7/2.

13 named storms with Martin 

as of today the score is 13-5-2 but who’s counting ? LoL

Fingers crossed 

Death toll confirmed stands at 15 now 

Just saw drone video footage of homes in both Sanibel and in Cape Coral.  A surprising number of homes look intact.  A testament to the Florida building codes.  As for water damage from surge flooding that’s a different story altogether.  

4 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said:

From the Lee County Sheriff's Office... 

 

EVery now and then you see a home that is completely obliterated. Is this due to construction type? or did we happen to have small tornadoes spawning in the area on top of the wind and surge ?

19 minutes ago, ag3 said:

 

Clearwater Beach barrier island is the biggest disaster waiting to happen and they got very lucky with Ian. They have built every inch of that barrier island. New homes, condos, hotels, restaurants, etc. Right on the Gulf, on the inlet, on all the waterways and the beach there is very narrow.

Everyone is in on it.  When you can get flood insurance in a high risk area in Florida for half of what it costs in say Connecticut, people build knowing their investment is more or less secure through tax payer subsidies 

surge is now forecast along the entire East coast 

11 minutes ago, bobbutts said:

I don't see any evidence of Punta Gorda underwater based on live video throughout the event.  The winds have not aligned to push water up Charlotte Harbor.

You are correct. I shouldn’t have said underwater.  They’ve been crushed with high winds but the storm surge is not what fort Myers is experiencing 

edit:  this is the video I had based my statement on.  It claimed to be from punta gorda 

https://twitter.com/YaCelacanto/status/1575247806889136143?s=20&t=10p9wRsEoX2GAPuBpEq5IQ

8 minutes ago, Chambana said:

Pine Island will be inhabitable.. Punta Gorda getting absolutely destroyed. 

Punta Gorda was destroyed by Charley in 2004.  It is all brand new construction to latest building codes but seems it’s now under water.  It’s gonna take a lot of flood insurance money to get those residents rebuilding yet again 

39 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Really curious to know what’s going on in Tampa Bay Area right now. Have to imagine some severe coastal flooding all along the e south sections of the bay with the persistent northerly fetch.

I left my home in South Tampa and evacuated to Lakeland. The cam videos of my home do not show more than gusty wind and light rain all afternoon. no flooding.  

Ian took a wobble East on radar that should help keep the strongest winds away from the coastal areas North of Port Charlotte  (Sarasota and places North of it). Tampa Bay sure dodged a bullet with Ian 

1 hour ago, Tezeta said:

Weenie this post if you care more about kittens than Floridians 

 

 

My friend works Florida emergency services.  He texted that many calls have come in about pets left in houses whose webcams show have taken on water.  These get put on a lower priority rescue list behind people.  It is heartbreaking that so many people evacuated but left their pets behind 

6 minutes ago, tiger_deF said:

Really serious situation with my extended family... last I heard from them 20 minutes ago the water was up to their necks in their house in the Royal Woods neighborhood of Ft. Myers, and they are too old and weak to swim for a higher building. How much more is the water expected to rise? The eye should be over them now based on radar, how long before Ft. Meyers gets the backside of the storm? If they have some time maybe they could float to somewhere more elevated... Any information would be really appreciated, I am extremely worried and my stepfather is in hysterics. 

Yikes. Hopefully they’ve let their 911 hotline know they need assistance as soon as available.  Katrina survivors were able to get in their attic and then bust through with hammers axe or whatever and climb above when winds died down 

Quote Tweet

IEMBot TBW

@iembot_tbw

·

17m

Automated

At 4:27 PM EDT, 3 SE Cape Coral [Lee Co, FL] MESONET reports HURRICANE. CAPE CORAL YACHT CLUB WEATHERSTEM REPORTS 112MPH GUST TO 135MPH. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/#TBW/202209282027/202209282027

The future of hurricane recon will likely be mostly via drone.  No reason to put lives at risk to collect hurricane vitals and track 

8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I am extremely concerned since we have cousins there.  I can’t fathom why they didn’t leave. 

I had neighbors who move there but we lost touch over the years.   I’m hoping they were smart enough to leave ahead of the storm 

Quite remarkable how similar Charley and Ian’s LF turned out 

Anyone else concerned that we have seen almost  zero footage last few hours from anyone in Cape Coral?

The combination of 150 mph winds, storm surge and the fact Ian is taking it’s sweet time sightseeing at 9 mph means the people along the track will be sitting in 5+ hours of hurricane strength winds.   
 

Loss of life is unfortunately a high possibility with this one, especially given the older population and stubbornness against evacuation.

I’m seeing lots of flooded cars as far South as Naples!,  the used car market in SW Florida will be totally bonkers next few months. 

If I’m right, the peak storm surge in the area of LF is still yet to come when the SW eyewall starts coming on shore 

Quote Tweet

Dave Malkoff

@malkoff

· 34m

Crazy #HurricaneHunt ! Our @USAFReserve 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron just landed. We hit hail, massive turbulence in the eye wall that dropped us 1000+ feet and saw #hurricaneIan rapidly intensity. It was NOT even calm inside the eye.

edit: they suffered some damage to their plane in the storm 

Eric Webb  

@webberweather

A recent dropsonde into the western semi-circle of Ian’s eyewall has generally confirmed these 166 kt (190 mph) winds measured by the TDR earlier this morning Wow.

41 minutes ago, msuwx said:

I can tell you from talking personally to someone this morning in Cape Coral.... they are staying but have a 'go' bag ready. I tried to tell them when the surge comes in, it will come quickly and it will then be too late.

The go bag is to take with them when national guard rescues them. 

4 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said:

Wonder what happened with the recon? They were about to do a S to N pass and turned around it seems

Could they just be delaying a bit ?

Recon has found a central pressure of 933.1 mb, so Ian continues to flex and  is still deepening 

folks near Ft Myers better hope the cane stays on the water longer and comes in North of them.