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Hotair

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Posts posted by Hotair

  1. FL CFO reminds of the fire danger of leaving EVs at risk to storm surge.  I just got back from my Clearwater beach condo and counted 7 teslas in the lower parking garage.  I certainly hope they are moved by tomorrow.  I almost wish they would all get towed if they haven’t been moved by 5 pm tomorrow 

     

     

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  2. 9 minutes ago, dbullsfan said:

    I don’t know, seems like the Tampa bubble is in full effect her and this is gonna end up staying north and west


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    Probably great for wind claims.  Not so much for storm surge   I don’t recall the last time we had 7 foot surge into the bay 

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  3. TV reminding folks how far Ian track was from actual LF 72 hours out. I do believe the steering patterns are a little better behaved this time given the multi model consensus, but no one inside the cone should let their guard down  

     

     

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  4. @tbrite89 just said the following: 

    IF tropical storm (soon to be #hurricane #Idalia) were to achieve MH intensity and make landfall in the area between Apalachicola and Horseshoe Beach, FL…it will be the first known occurrence in recorded history (dating back to 1851). For the area between Horseshoe Beach and Cedar Key, it was 1896. For Cedar Key to Spring Hill, 1950. Spring Hill to Tampa, 1921.

     
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  5. 34 minutes ago, Normandy said:

    It’s not often you get something this well organized with this much time over jet fuel. impressive outflow in all quadrants.  It’s a beast of a cyclone in the making.  Still like near tampa for landfall but I’m seeing the east shifts that usually occur with these setups.  That’s being said there is enough rushing to the east to keep this north of fort myers I think. 

    I’m very concerned over a potential Tampa LF. This storm is not on many folks radar and given it’s already late Sunday and folks go to school and work tomorrow means there’s less free time for any proper preparation 

     

     

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  6. 000
    WTNT62 KNHC 091653
    TCUAT2
    
    Tropical Storm Nicole Tropical Cyclone Update
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172022
    1155 AM EST Wed Nov 09 2022
    
    ...NICOLE MAKES LANDFALL ON GREAT ABACO ISLAND...
    
    Weather radar data from the Bahamas and surface observations 
    indicate that the center of Nicole has made landfall on Great Abaco 
    Island in the northwestern Bahamas with an estimated intensity of 
    70 mph (110 km/h).  A private weather station on Elbow Cay, just 
    east of Great Abaco Island, reported a minimum pressure of 986.8 mb 
    (29.14 inches) as the center passed near it.  Data from an Air 
    Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the estimated 
    minimum pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). 
    
    SUMMARY OF 1155 AM EST...1655 UTC...INFORMATION
    ---------------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.5N 77.1W
    ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM N OF MARSH HARBOR GREAT ABACO ISLAND
    ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
    
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
  7. Many friends and family in Ft lauderdale and North to West Palm Beach.  Not a Single one is taking this storm seriously. Like zero. I hope it’s because they have extra supplies from Ian but I y family there boarded up for Ian and they are not planning to board up for this.

     

     Keeping it at TS intensity < 48 to landfall has a lot to do with the thinking that it won’t get dangerous in time 

  8. 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

    I closed the shades on tropical weeks ago, but definitely impressive to have two Atlantic canes and a strong signal for subtropical development off the SE coast in November. 

    Same here.  Bummer.  I had already spent my prize money for winning the forecast contest 

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