Vice-Regent

1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

Arguably could be a top snowstorm considering some of the output without either of those being still pretty crazy. 

Locally it would possibly dethrone 1899. The sea level pressure on the Euro looks all wrong.

Just now, DCAlexandria said:

can i place the axe in my head yet?

Everyone knows ... everyone knows the end is nigh.

One or two solutions appear to stall off the VA Capes for 2 days? Jeez man

I like where we stand as of now. BOS will rain possibly in the end but the earlier phasing is kind of removing that from the equation. A dry slot will also suffice.

If you hate BOS the trends are in your favor. I have been waiting for a year where I defeat Boston in seasonal snowfall.

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

 

agreed

947mb though? Do we really want it?

Euro probably on drugs again but only time will tell.

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

I’m inside out 

3 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said:

Do we just let the trolls run amok for fun? 

You are positioned well for this storm the only downside is it will be a fast mover without any blocking.

There's your GFS and model cold bias hard at work setting up @clskinsfan for a mauling. This has rainstorm written all over it just like Chuck said.

2 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said:

"01/03/22 .7 Big storm for the east fringes us to the NW. Fredericksburg gets 15 inches. I get less than in inch. "

 

Shot water out of my nose reading this one. Just visualizing you outside measuring 0.7" of snow and then looking out to the SE muttering expletives towards Fredericksburg while your neighbors question your sanity from the safety of their curtains. 

Just too silly. Let's get back on track brother we celebrate each other's victories in here. Not sure how they roll at your place/sub-forum.

13 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Checkout these super widespread wind gusts for the Gfs blizzard. 

Massive rip.

2 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

It snowed at TLH in the formative stages of the Blizzard of 1899 so that Florida snow is not a bad sign. The only other snow I can recall in FL was in Jan 1977 during an epic cold spell. 

That being said, I could see this evolution changing run to run for quite some time, none of these moving parts look set, but there is plenty of cold air available and a recent history of deep upper lows tracking through the southeast, so given peak climo and the land-ocean gradient likely to exist, why not this sort of result? 

Well said brother it's a counter-intuitive relationship but we have established for a long time that warmer oceans lead to colder and snowier coastlines if certain conditions are met.

I don't consider Cape May a land area though. We are more or less in the ocean which is why I am expecting rain here.

1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

In other words the blocking creates an opposite reaction downstream in the atmosphere. I know this is not my storm but you have many reasons to keep tracking it.

Good luck @clskinsfan

12 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Hmmm. Pensacola disagrees. 

When Pensacola is snowing I am pretty sure everyone else is raining. That is kind of part of the deal.

The heat don't go away boys it just goes somewhere else.

14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

This is you’re fault. 

This might be your best ever.

It's a good post you guys have an inferiority complex going on. Sometimes the best is simple yet clever.

8 minutes ago, weathercoins said:

If you don’t like what the Euro is showing irt temps just blame it on the Tonga eruption 

Interesting theory brother. I suppose when the Southern Hemisphere is colder we torch harder.

Just now, Interstate said:

How would you even get rain with that 500 pass?

Torched out Atlantic and displaced high pressure region.

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

lol, temp problems on the Euro...oof

Oh I don't think the main appeal of this storm is the snowfall. That was obvious some days back.

For those concerned. I have gotten really good at reading these models. I know I am out of the game DC is not at least not entirely.

Reed Timmer is salivating on this run jeez...

Just now, LP08 said:

Even more interesting at 177

Very much the case it's more in-line with it's ensembles now as expected. 18z was an odd run for sure.

The Lower Mid-Atlantic is the Southeast guys. Infact the Southeast begins around or just south of VA Beach.

That's how far south we are.

1 minute ago, ravensrule said:

You mean the same GFS which did so well with temps this morning?. 

It runs cold brother. Once you adjust for that it's an incredible model for all forecast ranges.

10 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

it would be fun to experience one epic, 100 year blizzard.  A storm that could almost never happen again but happens.

Saving this for later.

3 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

Would this pad our stats?

 

Luckily it won't happen but only because AGW destroyed Pittsburgh instead of DC.

I prefer to keep my house and electricity.

9 minutes ago, Steve25 said:

 

Don't be frustrated. We can nickle and dime our way to victory. I am just saying verbatim the Euro is out to lunch... god's honest truth.