Verbatim the solution would play out like the Vagabond Hurricane (1903) only with a very late recurve near the coast. Pretty much a track never encountered in the modern record.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1903_New_Jersey_hurricane
Good question brother but is way beyond the scope of arctic sea ice discussion. To bring some closure we were already on a bad path with or without global warming.
You actually don't want this? This is an incredible setup that should not be squandered in these parts. These are not really our caliber ... very rare to have the lows pass this close in the Spring. They usually go to our north or west.
I got what @C.A.P.E. experienced. Gusty rains and T&L. Best roll cloud aesthetically speaking in recent memory. All of the good ones have been at night.
Timing was garbage for you guys. It was really close to being something more. Judging on how things have transpired there will be more threats to come.
Our profile and column is getting trashed by the front-running convection but it is very warm in OH valley. Good for warm air advecting our way to victory.
I would wager there is less to burn per acre? Thoughts? On a positive note the moistening trend should move from West Australia to the deep south going forward.
A.) Why are we not headed towards disaster?
B.) Why is global warming a non-threat? Quite the contrary it appears to be a threat multiplier at a time when we are most vulnerable.