EMontpelierWhiteout
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OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022
EMontpelierWhiteout replied to TalcottWx's topic in New England
Don’t lose faith. Could be surprises. -
Every forecast office up and down the coast is holding tight or shifting gradients slightly west. Time to stop looking at models and start looking at actual satellite and radar imagery.
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FWIW, From Bernie Rayno, great Accuweather meteorologist: “BTW what you are seeing in modeling with minor changes is classic WINDSHIELD WIPER EFFECT..Stay in the middle and don't get pushed around. The overall pattern and snowstorm is unchanged” Seems like sound advice. Here out on far NW fringe of storm, I am just pulling for something memorable to play out in ENE. Enjoy.
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06Z Euro Aligning western cutoff more north to south, now brings over 1” qpf over good portion of NH. With high SLR, I think you will do pretty nicely. Over here, jury still out. It is going to be close on a plowable snow.
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GFS does not fully phase the northern energy. Looks like it is acting as a little kicker east. Euro till a couple cycles ago had this fully phasing and closing off upper low much further south than GFS. Has trended toward a later close off.
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Wishing and trending…
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All is not lost. Northern stream energy amplifying the trough and closing off upper low sooner not off the table yet.
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My sister lives in Vernon, and she doesn’t really like big storms due to shoveling aspects, so will be interested in your obs so I can know what she is facing without exposing her to my desire for as strong a storm as possible.
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MLK storm treated us very nicely in N. Central VT.
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The banding with these powerful storms, and how terrain and wind direction impact local areas, is always tricky. Here in N. Central VT we got under a meso-band during the MLK storm that was not predicted, with 2”/hr rates for a couple of hours. Fun to watch.
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It would be disappointing to not to get in on some of the goods with such a powerful system. It looks like a fun one to watch regardless.
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-21 at 8:20. Threw a pot of boiling water in the air this morning. Love that water to gas phenomenon. Haven’t been able to do it for a couple years.
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Totally agree. The stretch from 11:00-3:00 was quite impressive. As storm accelerated north, meso band swung in. That was not expected.
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Just within last 10 minutes, a little more action. We’re about 2.5 inches.
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Yeah, that looks nice. Now if we can get snowfall rates going again. Snow has been really light here for a couple hours now.
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Snow here has really lightened up since moderate snows earlier. Nice winter scene though. It’s been awhile.
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Good base builder ahead of drier upslope tonight.
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2” as of 7:15. Moderate snow. Breezy.
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I saw some data that the northern stream energy that will eventually phase with ULL coming up coast may be a little slower and weaker. As I understand it this is driving feature for pulling storm on it’s modeled track. Will be worth seeing if this plays out as eastern trend.
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Any thoughts on whether HRRR colder solutions which are verifying down south may translate up north? Seems like many areas are going to be affected by micro differences in topography, wind direction, etc.
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Well your wrong about that.
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I didn’t laugh. Stick to the weather.
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Hey Forum Administrators. Block this a**hole. Greenmtnwx, grow up.
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Love this map compared to what they had out earlier.
