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Wetbulbs88

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Everything posted by Wetbulbs88

  1. Wetbulbs88
    Even posting this probably led to the most recent SREF outputs.Even posting this probably led to the most recent SRES outputs.
  2. Wetbulbs88
    Indeed. Seen it a million times. And it’s usually the right call.
  3. Wetbulbs88
    Seems like they think temps/lifting will win over modeled precip heaviest to the SE
  4. Wetbulbs88
    I CONNED?
  5. Wetbulbs88
    When you say radar extrapolation will work this time, Are you referring to the ease with which will be able to track the storm in real time rather than relying on the development or transfer of energy and ensuing creation of energy and precipitation? Or are you using a technical term that I am not aware of?
  6. Wetbulbs88
    This might’ve been mostly tongue-in-cheek, but I think they’re easily the best out there in this area. Their ambiguity translates to the most honest forecasting around.
  7. Wetbulbs88
    CWP just called for 2-4” with very low confidence. They seem worried about p-type issues which I think is sound given climo. My first call is 3-6 for my little neck of the woods in NW DC.
  8. Wetbulbs88
    Resolution wins right? Great, let's book it.
  9. Wetbulbs88
    I mentioned this the other day but honestly the NAM has been performing better for quite some time now. Then again you might just be NAMing the NAM because, well, it is, after all, the NAM.
  10. Wetbulbs88
    Yeah classic thread the needle indeed. Definitely gonna be tough to pull off so I'd be happy with any accumulating snow here.
  11. Wetbulbs88
    Twelve hours ago there were no flags to plant so one step at a time.
  12. Wetbulbs88
    What's a more realistic scenario between the two? I'm more prone to trust the NAM--honestly--but of course it's not like the RGEM is never reliable.
  13. Wetbulbs88
    3k has higher resolution
  14. Wetbulbs88
    I was in New York for ‘15, and I’m 32, but that was the coldest winter I’ve ever experienced. Weeks of highs not breaking 25 and nearly a whole week below 20. Unbelievable.
  15. Wetbulbs88
    I grew up in Ellicott City. At least there, we’d get significantly higher totals than surrounding areas. I lived on the top of centennial lane and the lift there compared to surrounding areas was simply a thing of beauty. Really was a great microclimate.
  16. Wetbulbs88
    That was the thing about this storm. Pretty powerful and far reaching but not the most organized precip shield. Outside that mega band, it was pretty spotty. And the mega band itself kept expanding outward minimizing durations.
  17. Wetbulbs88
    I’d be surprised if the District was that low. I measured 6.8” here in Chevy Chase and this morning we had more than 4” on the ground WITH compaction and melting. But maybe urban heating did its thing.
  18. Wetbulbs88
    What app is this?
  19. Wetbulbs88
    Hoping this band can gain some steam and bulldoze its way down here.
  20. Wetbulbs88
    Also not an expert, but I think it was Occam's Razor: ULL was simply too far north. The picture perfect placement of the coastal just couldn't fill the precip shield on the southwestern side. Just climo really. Western areas got great lift which sucked up a lot of what would've fallen in central MD. But these bands here are saving the day. One last thrust would get me over 7". Would also love to see a storm loop though. Where can you access? I've seen blizzards on YouTube and this one was fairly sizable.
  21. Wetbulbs88
    Where can I get access to a good one?
  22. Wetbulbs88
    6.8 inches here in CC. Super compressed on the ground but around 5 on the grass still.
  23. Wetbulbs88
    We’ve already reached the upper end of our range. If this band holds up and inches east we could bust high.
  24. Wetbulbs88
    Okay...
  25. Wetbulbs88
    I’m very disappointed that no one is recognizing that I told everyone to be patient lol.
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